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Crowd Forecast News Week #395

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 77.8%
Lower: 22.2%
Higher/Lower Difference: 55.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 62.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 7.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 9

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Stimulus
• free money. lots of millenials
• Nowhere else to go nut bitcoin which is now a frenzy
• Slightly higher before earnings reports/

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Is time for correction. Opposite before pandemic high is price about 65% up!

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Question #4. What styles of trading or methodologies have you had the most success with?

• None
• Moving Average Crossovers
• swing trading
• None trade my gut
• Charts. Moving averages.
• Intra daily.

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Keep up the good work, thanks.

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