Crowd Forecast News Report #303

AD: The Ultimate Online Trading, Investing, and Wealth Building Education Confrence starts Monday, click here to learn more.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport071419.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (July 15th to 19th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 63.9%
Lower: 36.1%
Higher/Lower Difference: 27.8%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 66.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.2%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 67.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.1%

Responses Submitted This Week: 36
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 37.3

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 57% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 59.0% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 57% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.99% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 63.9% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 42 times in the previous 302 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 57% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.14% Lower (rare instance where it more frequently moves Higher but the average of all moves is Lower) for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 57% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: The Ultimate Online Trading, Investing, and Wealth Building Education Confrence starts Monday, click here to learn more.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.3%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 72.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


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Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• ma 7, ma14 both up. but bars momentum is losing. So higher high is more likely, but may not be able to last till Friday (hence probability = 55% only)
• Trend
• Tariffs issue settled r
• The growing optimism of the public and the anticipated increase in available income generated by tax cuts. There could be a fear of missing out syndrome forming.
• interest rate cut
• The possibility of lower interest rates will make the stock market skyrocket.
• momentum
• Fed week ….
• wave 5 may not be finished — target SPY above 304.13 by 31 July
• history
• With the help of the FOMC’s stance on interest rates, expecting the market to grind some higher.
• Beginning of earnings and companies that report early usually do ok
• breakout at new highs
• new highs
• Earnings week
• Breakout
• large institutions are buying

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• it coukd fir a new resistance line maybe that is more selling than buying maybe i guess
• Small caps are not moving higher with large cap stocks
• This week has been a poor performer historically
• seasonallity
• because everyone says the market is going higher,
• The market continues to be overbought. The market needs to back and fill to be healthy.
• The drunken orgy continues to a blow off top 1k more points up, Euphoria will take the market to even higher highs
• I don’t really expect it to go lower anymore. But I’m short calls, so just hoping that my answer can influence reality.


AD: The Ultimate Online Trading, Investing, and Wealth Building Education Confrence starts Monday, click here to learn more.


Question #4. What trading-related questions or topics would you like the experts to discuss on future episodes of the weekly Crowd Forecast News show? (The show is off this coming week for Wealth365, but back on July 22nd.)

• Impact of gold on the market. Brexit repercussions. Repatriation of American jobs.
• Forecasting options time decay
• protect principal/
• Leverage etfs
• Need to know which are good Stocks to trade options for.
• Market Sentiment, Fund Flows,
• profit
• tarriffs


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• waar with Iran how will affect us


Both shows are off this coming week so you can attend Wealth365 instead!

Wealth365 is the largest free online trading and investment conference in the world. Join us and discover the best tips & strategies, directly from celebrity personalities, financial advisers, champion traders, and business thought leaders.

Click here to learn more.

The TimingResearch shows will be back on July 22nd…


Crowd Forecast News Episode #231
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, July 22nd, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #86
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, July 23rd, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


AD: The Ultimate Online Trading, Investing, and Wealth Building Education Confrence starts Monday, click here to learn more.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #85

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
6:30 – AAPL
13:20 – MGM
21:20 – KEY
27:10 – ROKU
33:20 – UBER
41:20 – WMT
45:50 – WYNN
52:20 – Trade ideas of the week.
1:01:00 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Larry: How to Trade Seasonality Cycles & Trends

From Matt: How To Consistently Target Profits In A Hostile Market

From Anka: Subscribe to Anka’s weekly videos on YouTube

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

Other Special Offers:

From Dustin Pass: Secrets Of The Elite – Traders That Never Lose

From TopstepTrader: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex


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AYT070919

Crowd Forecast News Episode #230

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Erik Gebhard of Altavest.com (first time guest!)
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com (moderator)

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
0:00 – Introductions.
8:10 – Questions #1-3; S&P500 Higher or Lower? Confidence? Why?
33:50 – What indicator influences your trading the most?
47:30 – Trade ideas of the week.
54:00 – Closing statements.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Jake: Jake’s email updates

From Simon: Build A Profitable Trading Strategy In 15 Mins

From Erik: A NEW Approach to Option Spreads on the Stock Market in 1-Minute per day! 30-Day Free Demo Account Trial to ThetaTrader, our TradeSimulator and TradeAlerts!


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CFN070819

Crowd Forecast News Report #302

AD: Secrets Of The Elite – Traders That Never Lose.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport070719.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (July 8th to 12th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 59.0%
Lower: 41.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 17.9%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.5%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 66.3%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 71.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: -5.3%

Responses Submitted This Week: 43
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 37.5

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 57% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 74.1% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 60% Chance Lower; the S&P500 closed 0.64% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 59.0% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 14 times in the previous 301 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 57% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.21% Lower (rare instance where it more frequently moves Higher but the average of all moves is Lower) for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 57% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Lower this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: Secrets Of The Elite – Traders That Never Lose.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.0%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• fed cutting rates
• Trump is popular
• The general market usually goes up after july 4
• new highs
• low volume + markets higher on no bad news
• Market melt up on FOMO crowd
• A tweet will move the Mkt higher- it s part of the 2020 election. POTUS feels the economy is his biggest ” bag of tricks.”
• accommodative Fed
• Optimistic view of the Fed cutting interest rates.
• wave 4 continues
• The market held on strong last week. Fed funds rate futures project at least 2 upcoming rate cuts this year. With this, momentum likely to carry market higher.
• Earnings reports
• Just a bullish environment prevailing.
• new highs and trend still up

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• The profit taking from the holiday run up, coupled with growing fears from overseas.
• Earnings soft
• the price is on the top trend line of megafon
• Chart
• 3,000 mark
• Historically worst six months
• No fed cut this x
• Wave 1 and 2 are set in place. If the one hour RSI can not recover long again, this will be the start of a continuation lower.
• VIX re-entered lower Bollinger band IWM, KRE, XRT not confirming new highs


AD: Secrets Of The Elite – Traders That Never Lose.


Question #4. What indicator influences your trading the most?

• Chart paiierns
• seasonality
• MACD
• 3xSt-RCI
• Interest rates
• — volatility — technical trending — tweets –macro /global ecnomy –fomc -Powell speaks Jul 11
• rsi
• MA, CCI
• MAs
• i dont uae them i use fundamental news most llike bankruptcy
• Interest rates
• Futures
• keltner channel
• Stock prices, although I do like to look at the RSI occasionally.
• Price
• The NYSE tick
• RSIOMA Multi-time Frame.
• Sentiment indicators. I go here for a quick look: https://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/
• DMI
• Support/Resistance levels; Channels; Bollinger bands.
• News
• Fib


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Comment on ” volume ” “O.I. ( open interest “) ” price ” as variables when trading options.
• i want my profits
• Learn a system and trust it.


AD: Secrets Of The Elite – Traders That Never Lose.


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #230
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, July 8th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Erik Gebhard of Altavest.com (first time guest!)
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #85
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, July 9th, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


AD: Secrets Of The Elite – Traders That Never Lose.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #84

AD: Secrets Of The Elite – Traders That Never Lose.


Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
3:40 – NFLX
7:30 – NVDA
10:40 – CSCO
15:00 – LK
19:10 – EA
24:00 – CMG
29:00 – Trade ideas for the week.
38:40 – AMD
42:20 – IWM
45:40 – PANW
47:50 – ORCL
49:30 – ABT
52:20 – CARA
55:10 – FIS
57:40 – MSFT
59:00 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Marina: Day Trading for Beginners GET FREE Mini Course NOW

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

From Michael: CandleLightTrading.com – Lighting the Way to Profitability

Other Partner Offer:

Secrets Of The Elite – Traders That Never Lose.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

AYT070219

Crowd Forecast News Report #301

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport063019.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (July 1st to 5th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 74.1%
Lower: 25.9%
Higher/Lower Difference: 48.1%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 66.1%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 66.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 64.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 2.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 27
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 37.6

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 60% Chance Lower
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 51.7% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 78% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.33% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 74.1% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 15 times in the previous 300 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct only 40% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.32% Lower for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 60% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Lower this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.0%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• China resolution, first of the month and new disposable income coming into the markets. Institutions speculating on the effects of the G-20 meeting.
• wave 5 is still finishing
• new highs coming
• China
• We closed up 40 points last week after a pullback so higher, and the RSI is long.
• continue uptrend until it ends
• Trade talks
• history
• improved momentum
• Trump announcing his bid for the Race
• Holiday trading adjustments
• There’s room to move up to 3000 in the near-term. The US-China trade talks will probably drag on, and therefore not cause the market to drop.
• Talks
• China deal, positive week for next week usually, to much negative sentiment readings

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• the falling interest rates are causing the herd to panic
• No direction for Trump/China deal
• Panic setting in the herd
• 4th of July Holidays, progress on the Trade Talks somewhat stalled


AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Question #4. What trading-related questions or topics would you like the experts to discuss on future episodes of the weekly Crowd Forecast News show? (The show is off this coming week, but back on July 8th.)

• the market direction
• Oil, uranium, hemp/cbd.
• Market direction
• Dividend stocks
• Not sure, I will think of some…………..
• Trading Systems that have a proven ‘Edge’
• Forecast the future
• momentum analysis and second derivative
• profit
• Indicators that really work


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Keep playing the game………………


CFN is off this week but back on July 8th, AYT will be back on July 2nd.


Crowd Forecast News Episode #230
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, July 8th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Erik Gebhard of Altavest.com (first time guest!)
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #84
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, July 2nd, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #83


Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
2:30 – ALLY
5:50 – SLV
13:30 – TSM
16:20 – FCX
19:40 – BA
23:30 – NUGT
28:30 – MU
32:20 – APPL
38:00 – Individual trade idea.
43:10 – ROKU
47:50 – MGM
51:20 – USMJ
53:30 – GBTC
58:20 – Rapid Fire: NJR, M, T
1:00:00 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

From Michael: CandleLightTrading.com – Lighting the Way to Profitability

Other Partner Offer:

Ultimate Guide to Price Action Trading.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

AYT062519

Crowd Forecast News Episode #229

AD: Ultimate Guide to Price Action Trading.


Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Bennett McDowell of TradersCoach.com
– Sam Bourgi of TradingGods.net
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (moderator)

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
0:00 – Introductions.
2:00 – Question #1-3
16:10 – Question #4 – Evaluate progress over time?
26:50 – Guest bios.
32:10 – Gold price action discussion.
39:50 – Trade ideas for the week.
49:00 – Additional thoughts about what to watch for this week in the markets and closing statements.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Anka: Subscribe to Anka’s weekly videos on YouTube

From Bennett: Discover How To Earn A Seven Figure Income Trading!

From Jake: Jake’s email updates

From Sam: TradingGods newsletter and free VIX Trading eBook

Other Special Offer:

Ultimate Guide to Price Action Trading.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

CFN062419

Crowd Forecast News Report #300

AD: The perfect pullback trade (free to download today).


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport062319.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (June 24th to 28th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 48.3%
Lower: 51.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -3.4%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 67.4%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 69.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -3.3%

Responses Submitted This Week: 29
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 38.0

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 78% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 57.5% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 56% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 2.10% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 51.7% Lower with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 9 times in the previous 299 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct 22% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.73% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 78% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: The perfect pullback trade (free to download today).


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Due to the China/US trade war, SPY will go higher
• wave 5 ends in July
• short squeeze
• No reversal yet. Market trading the good news.
• option friday expiration over. short term down then up without macro news
• all time highs broken
• MO & optimism re China trade deal
• RSI on daily H4 and H1 are motoring long in sync. Daily does show divergence but could continue to the end of the month.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Look of the chart – climactic top needs downside correction.
• Once the DTrump and Pres Xi talks are over and DTrump stops tweeting manipulatively motivated predictions that rarely ever occur , I believe the recent gains will begin to fall away. I do not expect a crash but as the reality sets in surrounding the phenom of DTrump tweets done to cause the market to go up, eventually the emperor will be exposed as “having no clothes”/substance. Once this takes root, the market, much of its upward momentum being unwarranted, is likely to readjust downward
• Failure of agreement of trade war at g30
• overbought
• After this week, we are due for a consolidation !
• weakening momentum
• Market held up correction occurs as summer sets in
• contrarian
• Market tippy 1 more FED rate cut keeping market up temporarily
• Negatives – Inverted yield curve, tariff wars, S&P earnings vs. previous quarter may be negative. G20 summit coming up – not expecting much,
• Market is overbought and looking tired. Some downside action is needed.


AD: The perfect pullback trade (free to download today).


Question #4. What procedures do you use to monitor and evaluate your trading results and progress over time?

• Subjective journalling and lots of what-if scenarios with PC-SPAN.
• The stock market in general
• my brain
• recordkeeping
• factor spreadsheets
• Check the balance.
• Cash amounts up or down. stocks option activity. Trade war news. black swan events
• p&l
• Track positions daily make improvements. In record keeping
• Daily follow market
• P & L
• A custom weighted multi-timeframe RSI with BB’s and a couple of MA’s


BONUS: Which of the following have you traded with real money so far this year? (check any that apply)


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• I say the stock market has a lot of up room (compared to Dec 2018) left before the bottom falls out.
• look out below
• credit spreads
• Never give up on your trading, learning it and get good at it.


AD: The perfect pullback trade (free to download today).


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #229
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, June 24th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Bennett McDowell of TradersCoach.com
– Sam Bourgi of TradingGods.net
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #83
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, June 25th, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com

Click here to find out more!


AD: The perfect pullback trade (free to download today).

Analyze Your Trade Episode #82

AD: Thursday: How To Beat The Market Investing Just Once A Week.


Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
3:00 – BHP
8:40 – NVDA
11:20 – ABT
14:00 – AMZN
16:40 – MCD
19:30 – GOLD
22:40 – TWTR
26:20 – SPGI
29:30 – XOM
35:50 – FVRR
38:30 – AM
41:00 – ACB
44:40 – FB
50:30 – TWLO
57:00 – TGT
57:50 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Michael: CandleLightTrading.com – Lighting the Way to Profitability

From Mike: Millions of options are traded every day identifying which ones to trade is what we do. We want to help you do it too.

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney


Email Alerts

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By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

Other Partner Offer:

What Separates The 1% Investor From The 99%?

This coming Thursday, Steven Brooks, who you’ve seen on the TimingResearch shows, is planning on sharing a brand new and unique strategy that he found where you can eliminate the amount of time you spend investing and potentially DOUBLE or even TRIPLE your returns…

By investing just one day out of the week!

And what’s even cooler about this strategy is that anyone, beginner or pro, can EASILY follow this strategy in as little as 5 minutes a week and start profiting immediately following Steven’s training.


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