Analyze Your Trade Episode #62

Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Christian Fromhertz of TribecaTradeGroup.com
– Oliver Schmalholz of NewsQuantified.com
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
5:00 – Quick market overview from each guest.
9:20 – TTD
14:30 – FB
18:50 – TSLA
26:30 – F
32:00 – GOOGL
38:40 – WY
44:40 – BAC
49:40 – NVDA
50:50 – LMT
52:40 – AAPL
55:40 – HUYA
58:30 – Trade ideas of the week and closing statements.

Guest Special Offers:

From Christian: Ger your first month of Elite Trader Package for $7.99

From Mike: Millions of options are traded every day identifying which ones to trade is what we do. We want to help you do it too.

From Oliver: Data Driven Stock Market Insights That Let Investors Like YOU Use the News to Compete And Win In Today’s Fiercely Competitive Market


 

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AYT011519

Crowd Forecast News Episode #210

Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net
– Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com (moderator)

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
0:00 – Introductions.
3:20 – Questions #1-3 discussion. Higher or Lower?
26:20 – Question #4; What do you think are the main reasons why most traders are not successful and consistent? What could the average trader do to improve consistency?
35:10 – Additional thoughts about the markets and closing statements.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Neil: Enter Your Email for The Best ETF To Hold For the Next 10 Years Already up +20.41% in 2018

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

From Dave: $100 Reusable Promo Code-Good For All Products At DaveLandry.com


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Crowd Forecast News Report #277

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport011318.pdf


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (January 14th to 18th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 54.3%
Lower: 45.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 8.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 62.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 59.2%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 65.9%
Higher/Lower Difference: -6.7%

Responses Submitted This Week: 36
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 43.0

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 53% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 63.9% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 69% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 2.39% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 54.3% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 30 times in the previous 276 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 53% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.07% Lower for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 53% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.5%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 45.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Good FOMC maybe now group
• In the first part of the week the correction to 2550, until the end of the week penetration rates in 2600
• Looks like we’re rebounding
• Temporary upswing
• Mean reversion and gut feeling
• Market pulling back drawing in more longs.
• China NewYear
• We are at a decision point !!! Either direction can apply. The weekly RSI is dropping, the Day RSI has turned up. The tricky part is the H4 RSI is nearing a high with the H1 RSI being confused. The H4 will either pull back Monday, Tuesday and then continue Long or it will fail and retest 2500 area.
• Index stochastics (daily chart) are in reversal range.
• Honestly I dunno where the heck it’s going!

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• fragile and reduced buying
• Magic 8 ball
• we are now up at key resistance spx 2600 and dow 24k -time to re-test .
• continued government shutdown
• Recent rally stops at resistance. This weeks earnings reports will put a damper on recent rally.
• Bank earnings this week; expecting uncertainty as they look to the future. Financial sector uncertainty with gov shutdown and future growth expectations can hold back the S&P.
• No resolutions to the 2 primary problems and earnings forecast will be lower
• Short term overbought condition combined with corresponding decline in A/D volume.
• hit the resistance
• volume is low


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!


Question #4. What do you think are the main reasons why most traders are not successful and consistent? What could the average trader do to improve consistency?

• If I knew the answer I’d still be trading and doing it successfully.
• Do NOT trade where you think it’s going. Instead, have a plan with stops based on risk/reward/probability. Assume probability is 40-60%.
• lack of a plan and discipline
• Poor money and risk management
• psychological
• fear
• Everything is a trap. If you haven’t seen it, you are in it. If it looks obvious it’s a trap. Wait for the play and then enter.
• Be patient
• Many traders jump into trades carelessly and pay too much attention to bad advice and news headlines.
• You must look at all TF’s and look from the top down as I have in Question #1 If the direction is not clear, do not trade, wait for that clear direction.
• Market Volatility induced by exogenous events.
• too many institutions with more money in the market speculating
• They do not lose losses until they are small. They too believes in their own infallibility.
• Discipline. Trade your plan.
• Stop sells at purchase price
• get better at interpreting candlesticks
• Knowledge needed of trends and market behavior. Few gain the knowledge.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• No, thank you, you are the expert.
• The more you learn the more you earn. Never ever give up! you will get it in time.
• Not Sure
• political gridlock


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #210
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, January 14, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net
– Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #62
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, January 15th, 2019
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Christian Fromhertz of TribecaTradeGroup.com
– Oliver Schmalholz of NewsQuantified.com
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!

Analyze Your Trade Episode #61

Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
5:00 – General market outlook from each guest.
8:40 – CLVS
15:10 – MU
21:20 – MSFT
30:40 – VZ
38:30 – NS
43:00 – JNJ
46:40 – AU
52:00 – SBUX
54:00 – DAL
57:00 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

From Mike: Millions of options are traded every day identifying which ones to trade is what we do. We want to help you do it too.

From Michael: Free Pass to Candlelight Trading Trade Room


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

AYT010819

Crowd Forecast News Episode #209

Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– John Hoagland of TopstepTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
0:00 – Introductions.
8:50 – Question #1; Higher or Lower?
10:40 – Questions #2-3; Confidence? Why?
29:30 – Upcoming events everyone is watching.
46:10 – What advice would you give and/or what resources would you recommend to someone who is new to trading?
1:00:00 – Trade ideas of the week and closing statements.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From John: Do you need more capital to trade? Get funded in as little as 15 days, click here.

From Simon: Live Market Analysis Using Supply And Demand

From Rob: InvestiQuant’s IQ Swing Navigator is one of the most valuable, daily market briefings you can get.

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

CFN010719

 

 

 

Crowd Forecast News Report #276

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport010619.pdf


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals. You’ll see how on this online training.


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (January 7th to 11th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 63.9%
Lower: 36.1%
Higher/Lower Difference: 27.8%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.8%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.9%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 65.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 5.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 38
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 43.5

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 69% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 60.7% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 56% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.32% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 63.9% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 29 times in the previous 275 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 69% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.19% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 69% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.3%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 45.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• cause up
• New lows have disappeared and this week is historically up
• Some of the technicals (Fibonacci levels) indicate that next week will be up
• 1. Oversold last 2-3 months 2 Solution of China tax issues 3.January reinvestment/new funds 4. Easing of potential interest rate increase
• Historically best six months
• measured move down with a reversal up accompanied by 10 times up volume to down volume
• Market structure tells we are in a down trend. The market has already come down a lot so any upward move now is a short-term pullback.
• Blue chips have hit several times book value, the mark of bear market bottoms. Value buyers are coming in.
• momentum
• random up week in a down market
• Still looking for a move up to the next resistance of 2575 or a bit higher, before the market turns back down.
• volume
• Upmove was very strong I don’t think it’s over yet even if this might be just a bear market upmove.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Sell programs
• Major down trend
• The reasons for the markets decline have not changed. The hope for change created strong short covering. The reality of “no” change will drive the markets lower again.
• We closed high on Friday and on Saturday we have a Solar Eclipse and Uranus goes direct, this normally means a reversal in the market not a continuation. Friday next week the Sun and Pluto goe into a conjunction often meaning a bottom.
• we hit the 20ema and feel we will head back down to re-test
• The downside correction continues until the public says “Just let me out”.
• market overbought
• needs to consolidate
• Downtrend continues


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals. You’ll see how on this online training.


Question #4. What advice would you give and/or what resources would you recommend to someone who is new to trading?

• Learn about seasonality, market cycles, and sentiment.
• Learn skills first, then test them, then test them again.
• go in slowly-no rush unless you are sure and nobody is sure!
• finviz.com-investopedia.com–vixcentral.com-
• be a forever student
• go with your gut
• Study price action on twitter.
• Cut losses short
• McClellan oscillator don’t count on Santa
• coin flip
• Test everything thoroughly!
• Don’t get too influenced by news headlines. Learn candlestick charting.
• Learn how to read charts before you trade, especial candlesticks.
• There are way too many gurus out there. Just find some indicators you like (they don’t have to be unusual ones) and draw trendlines and look at support and resistance areas and keep your stops.
• Study the fundamentals first then the technicals
• Have a trading plan, always honor stops, and don’t exceed a preset daily loss limit
• study charts voraciously brush up math if needed go slow paper trade like you mean it open a small account – take real trades 1 lots so if it costs you commission so what, did you get you degree for free or even if scholarship, someone paid for it no pain no gain.enjoy it or do not bother-if its torture find a business you like and do that with the same described focus and attention.. this paragraph is copyrighted please do not use it publish it.. i will find it online ‘nopainnogain not included
• Stop trading


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Study study study and sim trade for a long long long time to get the feel . Read some of the best books on investing and trading. Turn off the TV. Learn to read price action and order flow. Key in on the market forces that move prices and measure them.
• It may take longer than you think, but don’t give up.
• no
• thanks for your interest.


Both shows are back this week!


Crowd Forecast News Episode #209
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, January 7th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– John Hoagland of TopstepTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #61
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, January 8th, 2019
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals. You’ll see how on this online training.

Crowd Forecast News Report #275

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport123018.pdf

Scroll down for the full web version of the report.


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (December 31st to January 4th)?

Higher: 60.7%
Lower: 39.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 21.4%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 59.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 58.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 60.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.2%

Responses Submitted This Week: 30
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 43.8

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 56% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 61.0% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 83% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 3.55% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 60.7% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 27 times in the previous 274 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 56% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.07% Lower for the week (one of the rare circumstances where the market went up more frequently but the overall average move was negative for these weeks). Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 56% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.1%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 45.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Republicans majority
• best six months of the year historically
• Because the RSI and the Fast Stockastic are very low with inclinations to go up. The MACD IS ALSO with inclinacion to go UP.
• Value buyers thinking the market will try to protect against the possibility that the selling will subside somewhat before any considerable big down days again appear.
• momentum and volatility trends
• start monday higher or lower but end of week will slightly higher. hedge all trades to make money
• New Year rally
• With the market oversold, looking for a move up to the 2575-2600 range of resistance.
• Selling in the market seems to have slowed a little.
• Which direction will confuse people the most? Higher will confuse us.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Sell programs
• higher thru tuesday then drop , but not sure if it will go below this week low
• All the things that tanked the markets are still in play but it is oversold enough for some good positive days to happen until it becomes overbought and drops again.
• Govt. shutdown.
• The downside correction will continue until the public says “Just get me out”.
• trend is down and the bear rally is over
• Relief rally over(?)


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!


Question #4. What are you hoping to learn more about, or change, or improve related to your trading or investing in 2019?

• cut losses short
• EM
• swing trading
• Profit
• Bonds 3 percent opens plans to start a bond portfolio
• I want to receive a list of stocks to BUY and stocks to SELL when experts using a very complex computer program can decide when is the right time. I do not want to read lots of information about many companies when some one can provide me the list of stocks already found by experts.
• To get a better picture of the thinking of the big fund managers relative the the recent trading activity.
• money management ,, how to use stop loss on new platform
• Fewer trades. More smarter trades.
• Be more patient about jumping into trades.
• Get better understanding of option spreads.
• keep better records


BONUS: Where do you think the S&P500 will close for 2019 (relative to where it will close for 2018)?


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• I wish to have the right recomendations with you using the right tools to decide what to BUY and what to SELL and the right time. VECTORVEST is a program that can do it.
• keep up the informative viewpoints


The shows are off this week but join us again on January 7th!


Crowd Forecast News Episode #209
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, January 7th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– John Hoagland of TopstepTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #61
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, January 8th, 2019
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!

Crowd Forecast News Report #274

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport122318.pdf

Scroll down for the full web version of the report.


Partner Offer:

Disciplined Trader Mastery Program: Now There’s a Simple and Easy-To-Follow System For Gaining Control of Your Mental Game and Finally Live Your Dream of Independence and Financial Security


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (December 24th to 28th)
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 39.0%
Lower: 61.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -22.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 62.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 71.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: -9.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 42
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 44.2

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 83% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 53.1% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 55% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 6.72% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 61.0% Lower with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 12 times in the previous 273 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct only 17% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.67% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 83% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.3%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Year end rally
• Retracement and then further down
• time for a pause in the slaughter
• We are very low now.
• Spy 240 held Build from here
• Correction to the upside. A lower low will follow in the following week.
• Dead cat bounce/santa rally
• I see it as a pullback. Getting ready for another bigger downward plunge in New Year.
• Institutions have to rebalance. Will pick up undervalued stocks going into new year.
• short term : CBOE Equity put/call ratio closed too high. longer term: fundamentals are ok. Market is concerned only because of China and uncertainty with U.S. politics.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• redemption of funds by managers closing the books and washing their slate clean investor sentiment
• Sentiment
• Tariffs, government shutdown, interest rates
• More panic selling to continue
• So many uncertainties which the market usually hates and the recent weakness shows no signs of abating
• according to the sentiment of the market the price will go to support 1800 (in about 2 months)
• Continued down trend
• It’s hard to fight the direction of the market.
• There’s no meaningful S&P support until somewhere below 2300. No Santa rally showing up. Pres. Trump must be angry at Santa, but he can’t fire him.
• I no longer believe a CRASH is going to occur and now believe we are simply in a fairly intense bear market and when this ends the market will take off again and surpass highs of the recent past, possibly breaking 30K, maybe even 40K DOW and then when the US is about the only nation that has not seen its markets crash, It will happen here, probably in the next 2 to 4 years at which point the world will go into a depression lasting at least a decade, possibly 2.
• The downside correction continues.
• Gov’t shutdown
• SPX is in bearish market and just experience the “death cross”.
• No serious buyers
• Everyone is bearish now and all bulls are being wiped out
• The Market is oversold. The companies have bought back billions of their own shares. They have shorted their own stocks with covered calls.
• support broken McClellen oscilator
• Big money never Trumpers trying to sink American economy.


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Question #4a. Which of these have you traded in the last year? 

Question #4b. Which software programs and/or platforms have you used to execute your trades?
(For those who responded to #4b their answers to #4a are shown below before their #4b asnwer.)

• Stocks/ETFs, Options, Futures – Streetsmart Pro 3T Futures
• Stocks/ETFs, Options – Interactivbrokers
• Stocks/ETFs – Fidelity TC2000
• Stocks/ETFs – Think or Swim
• Stocks/ETFs, Futures – TD
• Options – Schwab
• Stocks/ETFs, Options – TradeStation
• Options – thinkorswim
• Options, Futures – Interactive Brokers. Fills are awesome even though their margining is difficult.
• Futures – Ninja Trader Platform. No software only look at price.
• Stocks/ETFs, Futures – TD
• Stocks/ETFs, Options, Futures – SAXO trader
• Futures – GCI fin., X-station, MT4
• Stocks/ETFs, Futures – interactivebrokers/fidessa
• Options – TOS
• Stocks/ETFs, Options, Cryptocurrencies – Options house
• Stocks/ETFs – E-Trade


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Trade tensions, tariffs, Powell Put, too much uncertainty coming out of Washington
• What’s coming is something different, something most will not expect. A drop of epic proportions..


The shows are off for the next couple weeks but join us again on January 7th!


Crowd Forecast News Episode #209
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, January 7th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– John Hoagland of TopstepTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #61
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, January 8th, 2019
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

Disciplined Trader Mastery Program: Now There’s a Simple and Easy-To-Follow System For Gaining Control of Your Mental Game and Finally Live Your Dream of Independence and Financial Security

Analyze Your Trade Episode #60

Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
5:20 – TNDM
8:00 – IWM
11:40 – PYPL
15:20 – AMZN
18:50 – MCD
23:30 – PFE
27:40 – CSCO
32:40 – Individual trade ideas.
44:20 – ABBV
47:50 – Jim closing statement.
48:30 – SLB
51:50 – XPO
54:20 – AOBC
57:40 – TEVA
1:00:30 – AMD
1:02:40 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Larry: Stop Trading Alone! Test Drive Our VIP Trading Club – One Time Trial Month for Just $7

From Michael: Free Pass to Candlelight Trading Trade Room

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney


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AYT121818

Crowd Forecast News Episode #208

Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
– Fausto Pugliese of CyberTradingUniversity.com
– Bennett McDowell of TradersCoach.com
– Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com (moderator)

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
0:00 – Introductions.
7:50 – Questions #1 and #2; Higher or Lower? Confidence?
16:00 – Question #3; Why?
25:50 – Question #4; What sort of hedging or portfolio protection strategies do you implement in your trading or investing?
32:20 – Trade ideas of the week.
43:00 – Closing statements and offers.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Simon: Build A Profitable Trading Strategy In 15 Mins

From Norman: The Disciplined Trader Mastery Program (Free Trial)

From Bennett: Discover How To Earn A Seven Figure Income Trading!

From Fausto: 12 Days of Deals

From Dave: $100 Reusable Promo Code-Good For All Products At DaveLandry.com


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