Crowd Forecast News Week #382

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 45.5%
Lower: 54.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -9.1%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 73.6%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 76.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -6.7%

Responses Submitted This Week: 11


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• globex
• Since late November, the markets have been pushing higher than the levels before February’s Covid Crash! However, signs of exhaustion in these over-valued markets are now appearing with last week’s decline, as I predicted, plus declines in broader measures of Advance/Declines, Accumulation/Distribution, and % Stocks Above 40-day Averages crossing below % Stocks Above 200-day Averages….even the Dark Pool activity is decreasing! A bigger market pullback/correction is looming and looking for a catalyst, and maybe this week’s US President Inauguration might oblige!?! Assuming no disruptions, the SPY, DIA, and QQQ are all nearing their respective lower bands in narrow trading ranges, and ready for a bounce higher this coming week. The SPY’s lower bounce point is $374.50’ish with topping target around $382’ish. Similarly, the DIA’s bounce higher target is $313’ish, and the QQQ is $318’ish.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• The divergence of the CCI indicator is obvious. The price should fall to the level of the high trend line (about 3600).
• Technical analysis
• Lower volume through Wednesday, then further drop Friday on heavier volume. (based on social/political news).
• 4 day week nothing big happening


Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none


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Analyze Your Trade Episode #146

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Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols today: $AAPL, $AMZN, $AMD, $MSFT, $DIS, $SNAP, $MU, $MRNA, $DKNG, $ZM, and more!


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Crowd Forecast News Episode #287

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Summary:

  • Higher or Lower? Where Anka thinks the markets are going this week.
  • How options expiration influences the markets.
  • Thoughts on $NVDA, $CMG, $M, $UNP, $NEM, and a lot more!

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:


On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


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Crowd Forecast News Week #381

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 53.3%
Lower: 46.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 6.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 72.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 71.3%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 73.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.3%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• momentum
• Technical analysis
• More stimulus will come. Good earnings.
• Trend is still up on big stocks. Quiet weekend for bad news. Buy two days until Trump decision
• Anti-covid-19 vaccination is starting worldwide
• Like Last week follow-through sp500
• Trend

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• SPY rebounded off lower trading band and now well above upper band, so looking for a move lower during the week and possible rebound off 371.50’ish.
• Pullback/chop prior to Biden transition
• Due to Trumps behavior
• Tesla stock price will drop about 70 points < + and – > 10 . Way overvalued. < jet pump effect >
• Thanks to the purchase euphoria, the price broke the significantly high trend line. I am therefore waiting for an early correction to 3620.


Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Earnings this week tell story FRIDAY CCL could push entertainment downward
• SPY PUT option 19Jan2021


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Analyze Your Trade Episode #145

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Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– ProTrader Mike of MojoDayTrading.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols discussed today: $DOCU, $AMD, $AAPL, $GBTC, $TSLA, $CARR, and more!


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Crowd Forecast News Episode #286

AD: Pros don't trade their own money. Be a PRO.

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:


On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


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Crowd Forecast News Week #380

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 71.4%
Lower: 28.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: 42.9%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 70.5%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 73.3%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 63.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 10.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 21


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• still in uptrend. no breakdown yet – can change anytime due to News related events regarding the election in Georgia and electors’ certification anytime !
• New year optimism, historical tendency, Elliott Wave on longer term.
• MACD IS about to cross and RSI (65) IS IN POSITIVE area.
• biden presidency
• RSI strong Box breakout
• a strange new wall of worry the MEDIA thinks too many are bullish!! and DANGER LIES AHEAD
• Start anti-covid-19 vaccination positive effect.
• pro bono publico Thanks
• Day RSI is long, H4 RSI is starting lower, but the H1 RSI is set for a rubberband trade long this week, pulling the H4 RSI long again. We are at an inflection point and the first 2 months of stock trading normally is bullish.
• Covid-19 vaccination start make investors feelings more positive.
• Georgia state senate run off will be over, no uncertainty.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Multiple high testing is over
• Elliot indicates choppy small pullback
• The SPY hit its upper target in an up-sloping and narrowing $5 trading channel, and will likely meander downwards towards a lower channel target of $369, before its next rebound higher. A similar story for the DIA, but in an up-sloping narrow channel of $3 with lower target of $302.50. The QQQ’s, on the otherhand, is already mid-way within its upward sloping narrow channel range of $316 to $310.


Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• repubs win in georgia race
• There is NO DANGER as long as the media is worried
• Mathematically transparency and simplification due to giving solution via the Green Function Thanks
• New quarter and fund managers need to get back into the game. There is lots of money out there. The cryptos have been on fire to show you how much money there really is out there.
• Optimism abounds with recently approved vaccines circulating, the US Fed covertly supporting the markets, but alas the nasty C-19 & variants continue to wreak a savage toll worldwide on humans and economies. Some say this is the longest-lasting thing to come out of China in almost a centruy!?! Take care, be safe, and enjoy…from a distance with a mask!


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Analyze Your Trade Episode #144

AD: Pros don't trade their own money. Be a PRO.

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Doc Severson of ReadySet.trade
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols discussed today: AMD, CSCO, MRNA, V, NVDA, SLV, GBTC, and more!


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Crowd Forecast News Episode #285

AD: Pros don't trade their own money. Be a PRO.

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:


On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com

Topics Covered:

  • The Option Professor’s outlook for 2021
  • Materials & Commodities: where they are headed
  • Fed action and interest rate concerns
  • Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin activity

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


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Crowd Forecast News Week #379

AD: Pros don't trade their own money. Be a PRO.

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 61.5%
Lower: 38.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 23.1%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 71.5%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 73.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 68.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 5.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 13


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Christmas rally?
• EOY Seasonality
• reapeat preformance
• New Year rally on stock market will push S&P 500 index to up direction movement.
• Year end trading
• The SPY continues to trade in a narrowing upward sloping channel of $5’ish width, bounced off the lower bottom on Dec.22, and now meandering towards a top target of $372’ish before likely rebounding to the lower side. In addition, both the DIA and QQQ are performing similarly in narrow upward sloping channels with DIA top target of $303.5’ish and QQQ at $313.50’ish. The SPY typically posts positive returns in the last week of December, but all markets continue to be overbought and surviving on Fed life support.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Elliot wave indicates a near term small pullback
• The price does not 4.week higher high
• End of year slow trading volume


Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Happy New Year 2021 to every person on the earth!
• The passing of a US Stimulus package should sustain the markets’ artificial fix into the New Year!?! However, watch out for January seasonal weaknesses with exception of technologies typically posting modest gains.


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