Analyze Your Trade Episode #98

AD: There Will Be Blood, There Will Be Profits.


Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Mark Sachs of RightLineTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
3:00 – SIX, MSFT, A, V, BMY, BIIB
40:00 – STZ, CAT
47:00 – Individual trade ideas.
59:00 – Closing statements.


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AYT101519

Crowd Forecast News Report #316

AD: There Will Be Blood, There Will Be Profits.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport101319.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (October 14th to 18th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 63.0%
Lower: 37.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 25.9%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 67.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 68.5%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 65.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 3.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 27
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 36.0

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 61% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 70.0% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 60% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.88% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 63% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 64 times in the previous 315 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 61% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.12% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 61% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.4%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


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Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Positive China, Inpeachment efforts dwindle
• Earnings, Brexit solution, breach of downtrend.
• Trade deal +ve news
• FED CUT Selloff cycle ended Friday NICE REBOUND
• market currently going up
• The weekly chart shows higher lows, indicating that the trend is still up. The market likes the current US-China trade talk situation — wouldn’t argue with that.
• Us / China agreement
• China trade
• momentum

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Trade, middle east Issues, macro economics
• U.S. and China trade deal did not yield any better things for U.S. China has to feed its people and has to buy agriculture products, only U.S. can satisfy China’s huge population’s needs, no other single country can do that. Besides, nothing is in writing. Before the trade war China was buying from the U.S.
• Price in
• While sentiment suggest higher I think technicals suggest lower


AD: There Will Be Blood, There Will Be Profits.


Question #4. What trading software/platform(s) do you use to execute your trades?

• Tastyworks, TOS
• TCC2000, RBC, I-Trade,
• I use TD Ameritrade and Fidelity. Good news for me this week: both now commission free. TD Ameritrde now charges $0.65 per contract plus a small penny fees.
• Tradestations
• Fidessa
• TD
• E-Trade
• Td ameritrade
• Infinity futures and TOS
• Fidelity, TS & Trading view


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Gold & Silver stabilize & Rise. Modest Gains is stocks


No CFN show this week, join us for these other upcoming events on TimingResearch:


Analyze Your Trade Episode #98
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, October 15th, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Mark Sachs of RightLineTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Synergy Traders #4
For this event 5 amazing trading educators available to teach you about their top trading strategies. We are inviting you to spend the day learning top trading strategies from leading industry experts that will bring you closer to achieving your trading goals.

Date and Time:
– Monday, October 19th, 2019
– 10AM ET (7AM PT)

Lineup for this Episode:
– 10AM: Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– 11AM: Mercedes Van Essen of MentalStrategiesForTraders.com
– 12PM: Michael Guess of DayTradeSafe.com
– 1PM: Neil Batho of TraderReview.net
– 2PM: Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com

Click here to find out more!


AD: There Will Be Blood, There Will Be Profits.

1

Analyze Your Trade Episode #97

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:


On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
2:00 – NVDA
6:00 – ROKU
12:00 – COST
18:00 – IBM
23:00 – X
28:00 – BIDU
33:00 – FB
39:00 – COUP
43:00 – Guest trade ideas for the week.
51:00 – SEDG
55:00 – AMD
58:00 – Closing statements.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

AYT100819

Crowd Forecast News Episode #241

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:


On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Mark Sachs of RightLineTrading.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

CFN100719

Crowd Forecast News Report #315

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport100619.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (October 7th to 11th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 70.0%
Lower: 30.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 40.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 65.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 64.4%
Higher/Lower Difference: 1.3%

Responses Submitted This Week: 29
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 36.2

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 60% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 55.6% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 72% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.73% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 70% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 63 times in the previous 314 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 60% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.10% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 60% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.3%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• The market seems to be trending higher. Economy still good. Optimism about China trade deal.
• Buyers will respond to lower prices from this week. Unless there’s bad political/trade news over the weekend.
• The US jobs report was a good sign and lowering interest rates might factor in a higher S&P500 but not confident…
• because is been that way for last 4 months
• Fed lowers soon puts floor under the market
• seasonality
• summer is over, stocks going higher
• We closed out of the consolidation ranges from last Couple of weeks to the upside. I feel that buyers will come into the market in anticipation of the China USA trade talks that will ultimately fail.
• China deal anticipation
• The S&P has a hammer on the weekly chart, suggesting an upward move.
• Recent bottoming and turnaround in stochastics on 1,3,and 6 mo charts.
• Good news for the week !
• chart formation.
• Positive signs that a resolution to the China Trade war is near
• Good economic news
• It could be big low by Fri but they may still push up for a day or two or keep it still in highs.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• it will be sideways
• S&P still topping out so higher chance of it going lower
• Macro Economics, USA is Good, however other countries EU monetary banking issues, IE., Interest rates. China seems slowing, other countries following suit. USA is strongest with Trump in Power, USA will prosper is these times.


AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Question #4. What type(s) of trading do you specialize in or focus on? How did you come to that decision?

• Wide interests at this point. Long-term equity positions, forex, and I’ve just started trading options.
• Options on ETFs, exspectations for economic growth are falling.
• Options
• Ling term & swing
• reversal trades
• options, more defined risk
• Investing, swing and day, Retirement, occasions and salary
• Options
• Futures day trade time frames. Investments long terms as well which I don’t focus on as much as they are investments not trades
• Selling covered calls on good stocks. Based on experience
• Swing trading stocks – works for me as a part-time trader.
• Overbought/oversold conditions. Best chance for trend following.
• SPY
• Stocks. However I do follow Bonds, EFT. tec.. I see commentaries of many people and seems most are in agreement.
• I like options.
• Trading E-mini
• Value
• Futures scalping


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• I would like to learn spreads
• let s wait and see
• Gold has stabilized and will slowly rise, Silver following naturally…
• I’m open to suggestions on how to trade options profitably.
• Switching to commodities from indices gradually as index is riskier whereas commodities are perhaps going to be interesting now on


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #241
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, October 7th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Mark Sachs of RightLineTrading.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #97
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, October 8th, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #96

Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Lance Ippolito of InTheMoneyTrading.com and AlphaShark.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
4:00 – SQ
8:00 – AVGO
10:00 – SMH
13:00 – V
15:00 – AMTD
20:00 – KL
24:00 – MMM
26:00 – Individual trade ideas.
36:00 – CVX
39:00 – IWM
44:00 – LMT
46:00 – REG
49:00 – RTN
50:00 – CHKP
54:00 – ZS
56:00 – ROKU
58:00 – Closing statements.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

Other Partner Offer:


AYT100119

1

Crowd Forecast News Episode #240

Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:


On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

CFN093019

Crowd Forecast News Report #314

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport092919.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (September 30th to October 4th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 44.4%
Lower: 55.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: -11.1%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 63.9%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 61.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 65.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -4.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 27
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 36.3

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 55% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 60.0% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 72% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.73% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 55.6% Lower with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 42 times in the previous 313 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct 45% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.35% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 55% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 63.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 61.7%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 65.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• I think next weeks market will move sideways. A lot of uncertainties in trade and the political picture.
• Low interest rates
• Bounce from this week
• resolution of impeachment
• Just a guess
• Trade deal
• The chart pattern suggests a lower start the week followed by a rebound rally.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• More White House Craziness
• lower before weekly wave 5 continues
• Range bound with weakness to the downside
• Unexpected move from whitehouse but hope this will be a rumor.
• Harry Dent
• China tarrifs
• S&P struggling at this point. Business investments lower; China trade issues going nowhere.
• Trump tweeting some market shaking things in an effort to move the news cycle away from the impeachment inquiry
• Its September. High probability the market corrects.
• Trends


Question #4. What sort of hedging or portfolio protection strategies do you implement in your trading or investing?

• Sell puts when unsure of market direction
• I don’t hedge
• One Triggers Two (OTT) = One Cancels Other (OCO) – at open of the options trade , place orders for both win (at +100% or such) and loss (-50% or such) on the options; ensure losses restricted and winners get closed before retracing
• stop losses
• Selling calls
• sell puts
• with Gold options
• Options: Buy/Sell Puts in-out
• None
• out of money calls and out of money puts
• TC2000
• Options
• Buy puts. Buy inverse etf’s


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• N/A
• Gold Rising


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #240
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, September 30th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Mark Sachs of RightLineTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #96
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, October 1st, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Lance Ippolito of AlphaShark.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!

Analyze Your Trade Episode #95

AD: [eBook] “Monthly Income Blueprint


Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline (links open to YouTube):
0:00 – Introductions.
3:00 – ULTA
6:00 – ADBE
9:00 – CSCO
12:00 – CMG
16:00 – AMD
21:00 – FIS
23:00 – MU
27:00 – BIDU
30:00 – AMGN / PFE / BMY / MRK
38:00 – RIG
42:00 – Gold and Silver Stocks
48:00 – AAPL
51:00 – AMZN
54:00 – HD
55:00 – SPY
58:00 – MCD
59:00 – MSFT
1:00:00 – NVDA
1:01:00 – Closing statements.


AD: [eBook] “Monthly Income Blueprint


Email Alerts

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By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

AYT092419

Crowd Forecast News Episode #239

AD: [eBook] “Monthly Income Blueprint


Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:


On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
– Mark Sachs of RightLineTrading.com
– Michael Guess of DayTradeSafe.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


AD: [eBook] “Monthly Income Blueprint


Email Alerts

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CFN092319

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