Crowd Forecast News Episode #233

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
[coming soon]

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Jake: Jake’s email updates

From Simon: Build A Profitable Trading Strategy In 15 Mins

From John: The Mad Hedge Fund Trader is Your Source For Winning Trade Alerts, Real Market Wisdom, and Global Economic Insights!

Other Special Offer:

Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

CFN080519

Crowd Forecast News Report #306

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport080419.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (August 5th to 9th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 25.0%
Lower: 75.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -50.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 64.5%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 66.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -6.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 33
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 37.0

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 67% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 60.0% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 54% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 3.06% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 75.0% Lower with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower (this is the highest ever percentage of respondents predicting Lower in the history of this survey). Similar conditions have occurred 18 times in the previous 305 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct only 33% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.49% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 67% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.8%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• mkt is still in uptrend
• all chater
• a reversal, many good buys
• Because of over reaction of news
• my own technical analysis statitstics

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Trade war increasing intensity and Trump fans the flames until China responds.
• Reverse from the top of the megaphone trend line will continue
• Dip, economic uncertainty, VIX
• normal contraction in the march upward
• Momentum
• Re-trenchment
• wave 5 finished
• The downside correction started this week and will continue for at least one more week.
• August is the start of ‘crash season.’
• The recent move down was on expanded volume. Trade war with China will hurt consumer sector, with no US-China settlement in sight. Projecting S&P down to 2800 or below before a bounce.
• Mood of the nation
• Major top this week Aug is a bad month, Major market top last week + August bad m0nth for market
• reset
• There seems to be a trend in place. Could be the summer slowdown is starting.
• Trump
• Daily RSI has crossed lower
• huge drop in momentum broken support


AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Question #4. What procedures do you use for trade management? (e.g. position size, stops, scaling in or out, etc.)

• Position sizing
• only in stocks and will scale Out
• scaling in, trailing SL
• Trend , options of trend for stovks with good options
• Lost max. 2% of acc.size, trailing stop by 20 SMA
• initial stops / trailed stops; position size
• Position size
• For trading, usually equal amounts in several stocks.
• technical and fundamental position size, stops, entry and exit’s
• Loss mitigation
• position size, scaling in or out
• Positions size and dynamic exits
• position size and stop
• position sizing
• Stops


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Keep records of why and trades.


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #233
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, August 5th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #88
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, August 6th, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com

Click here to find out more!


AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #87

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions and GH.
9:40 – COUP
14:40 – CVX
20:00 – SBUX
25:00 – BYND
27:50 – WDAY
30:50 – SPY
42:30 – BOX
45:00 – ZEN
45:50 – NFLX
46:50 – ADM
47:50 – KGC
49:40 – BMY
52:20 – ISRG
55:20 – GDX
56:30 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Michael: CandleLightTrading.com – Lighting the Way to Profitability

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

Other Partner Offer:

Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

AYT073019

Crowd Forecast News Episode #232

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Erik Gebhard of Altavest.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (moderator)

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
0:00 – Introductions.
10:10 – Question #1; S&P500 Higher or Lower?
11:20 – Question #2 and #3; Confidence? Why?
21:30 – Other comments about this week?
36:30 – What methods or techniques do you use to overcome the emotional aspects of trading?
55:09 – Closing statements and trade ideas.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Jake: [coming soon]

From Anka: [coming soon]

From Jim: [coming soon]

From Erik: [coming soon]

Other Special Offer:

Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

CFN072919

Crowd Forecast News Report #305

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport072819.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (July 29th to August 2nd)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 60.0%
Lower: 40.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 20.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 66.6%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 66.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 67.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.6%

Responses Submitted This Week: 37
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 37.2

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 54% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 51.4% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 60% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.47% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 60.0% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 37 times in the previous 304 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 54% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.14% Lower for the week (one of those rare conditions where the markets moved Higher more frequently but the overall average move was Lower). Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 54% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.0%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Trend
• There will be a lower interest rate in the USA
• Earning season in line
• There is 86% (as of today) probability that the Fed will lower interest, S&P500 will be heading higher. The probability numbers are from CBOE Fed interest rate futures.
• Weak Fed will yield to political pressure.
• up in wave 3
• spy chart
• Momentum
• History
• Earnings report
• Trend is up and into fresh air
• Positive news form the Fed. Plus earnings upside surprises.
• fed cut and just general momentum
• Price is currently creeping higher, it will do so until it breaks. < (duh on me). On a daily chart, I see divergence for lower. That divergence could go on for days, MTF RSI is above a 21 and 100 MA, it will take a week to see any change to lower.
• Fed

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• capitol hiss
• struggling and third attmp high now. forming a round and wedging top
• stocks overpriced will stop going up on positive news and the big money will begin distribution
• What’s the magic for going up?
• go up into the fed meeting and then sell off
• The market remains overbought. The market needs some backing and filling to get healthy. This is a very big week for earnings reports.
• The S&P is at the upper Bollinger band, with negative divergences. So, the odds favor a pullback.
• sell the news.


AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Question #4. What methods or techniques do you use to overcome the emotional aspects of trading?

• TA
• set a stop loss
• set a strict stop loss
• I look at the various charts.
• N/A
• Charts
• 50 years of obsevations
• I am very strong emotionally. I do not need methods or techniques.
• trade with smaller bet, buffer up
• Charts
• charting
• high probability setups
• data
• price action, VIX
• I use a fixed system based on an algorithm I designed.
• Fixed cross-overs of a set of indicators and use a Stop Loss for keeping your profits. Time in the market gives you experience which turns into confidence in time also.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• I hope I am right.
• market has some room to go up
• Life is good, find the large market turns and stay in that direction for weeks while adding to your position.


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #232
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, July 29th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Erik Gebhard of Altavest.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #87
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, July 30th, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #86

AD: Revealed: How To Identify Market Moves Up To 3 Days In Advance.


Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Christian Fromhertz of TribecaTradeGroup.com
– Mike Pisani of SmartOptionTrading.com
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
3:30 – AAPL
9:00 – TSLA
13:40 – ROKU
20:00 – INTC
24:00 – CSX
29:10 – HD
33:50 – SHOP
36:50 – TLT
44:50 – AMZN
51:50 – BYND
54:20 – Trade ideas for the week.
1:00:50– Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Matt: How To Consistently Target Profits In A Hostile Market

From Christian: Christian Fromhertz discusses how he brings an institutional trading desk feel to the retail investor

From Mike: Millions of options are traded every day identifying which ones to trade is what we do. We want to help you do it too.

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

Other Partner Offer:

Revealed: How To Identify Market Moves Up To 3 Days In Advance.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

AYT072319

Crowd Forecast News Episode #231

AD: Revealed: How To Identify Market Moves Up To 3 Days In Advance.


Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Bennett McDowell of TradersCoach.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com (moderator)

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
0:00 – Introductions.
??? – Higher or Lower?
19:10 – Additional comments about the market.
23:50 – What are the most important mental and emotional characteristics for traders to develop?
46:00 – Trade ideas for the week and additional strategy discussion.
1:04:00 – Closing statements.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Marina: Day Trading for Beginners GET FREE Mini Course NOW

From Simon: Build A Profitable Trading Strategy In 15 Mins

From Bennett: Discover How To Earn A Seven Figure Income Trading!

Other Special Offer:

Revealed: How To Identify Market Moves Up To 3 Days In Advance.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

CFN072219

Crowd Forecast News Report #304

AD: Revealed: How To Identify Market Moves Up To 3 Days In Advance.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport072119.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (July 22nd to 26th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 48.6%
Lower: 51.4%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.9%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 64.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 63.2%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 64.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 38
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 37.3

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 60% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 63.9% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 57% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.36% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 51.4% Lower with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 20 times in the previous 303 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct only 40% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.07% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 60% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: How to arbitrage value vs time.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.2%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• It is the end of the month which is positive for the market, but everything will hinge on the GDP number Friday and if the Fed will cut interest rates. If GDP is low, rates are cut and the market will go up, the opposite is true if GDP is strong.
• extreme low along still trending mkt
• earnings season
• Not sure. Suspect rangebound week.
• Buy the dip Traders/investors push S&P to new high
• Gut feeling
• history
• will go higher into the fed
• trend is up
• Rebound from Friday and positive earnings

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Complacent waning volume
• Hurricane barry maybe
• Earnings
• Price did not break the top trend line (wave D in megaphone)
• retracement from highs
• Problems with Iran
• wave 5 may be done
• The market remains overbought and needs some backing and filling to be healthy.
• Summer doldrums
• Your guess is as good as mine-
• World economy. We are at the edge. Anything can happen with Iran – etc and people are becoming more aware of possibilities of rate stagnation and even increase end of July.
• topping fotmation


AD: Revealed: How To Identify Market Moves Up To 3 Days In Advance.


Question #4. What are the most important mental and emotional characteristics for traders to develop?

• Your guess is as good as mine. One of the reasons I don’t participate on a regular basis, is that trying to ” read the market , even 10 minutes into the future ” is an exquisite exercise in futility. The world is better off without a leader, since all we do is wander around aimlessly into the weeds.
• accept losses
• discipline
• a probability mindset
• Know when to get in and out before placing trades and stay in size according to small percentage of capital for his market.
• Take losses
• Taking losses
• Discipline
• Patience, Discipline, Consistency
• Stress profit motive.
• Stick to a plan
• Not to react with fear
• calm
• Patience
• Patience
• calmness
• Believe what I do and wait patiently for my opportunity


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• No. Have a great week-end.
• Discuss volatility and the importance of understanding the vixx


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #231
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, June 22nd, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Bennett McDowell of TradersCoach.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #86
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, June 23rd, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Christian Fromhertz of TribecaTradeGroup.com
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


AD: 40 page Sector Report.

Crowd Forecast News Report #303

AD: The Ultimate Online Trading, Investing, and Wealth Building Education Confrence starts Monday, click here to learn more.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport071419.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (July 15th to 19th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 63.9%
Lower: 36.1%
Higher/Lower Difference: 27.8%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 66.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.2%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 67.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.1%

Responses Submitted This Week: 36
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 37.3

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 57% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 59.0% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 57% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.99% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 63.9% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 42 times in the previous 302 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 57% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.14% Lower (rare instance where it more frequently moves Higher but the average of all moves is Lower) for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 57% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: The Ultimate Online Trading, Investing, and Wealth Building Education Confrence starts Monday, click here to learn more.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.3%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 72.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• ma 7, ma14 both up. but bars momentum is losing. So higher high is more likely, but may not be able to last till Friday (hence probability = 55% only)
• Trend
• Tariffs issue settled r
• The growing optimism of the public and the anticipated increase in available income generated by tax cuts. There could be a fear of missing out syndrome forming.
• interest rate cut
• The possibility of lower interest rates will make the stock market skyrocket.
• momentum
• Fed week ….
• wave 5 may not be finished — target SPY above 304.13 by 31 July
• history
• With the help of the FOMC’s stance on interest rates, expecting the market to grind some higher.
• Beginning of earnings and companies that report early usually do ok
• breakout at new highs
• new highs
• Earnings week
• Breakout
• large institutions are buying

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• it coukd fir a new resistance line maybe that is more selling than buying maybe i guess
• Small caps are not moving higher with large cap stocks
• This week has been a poor performer historically
• seasonallity
• because everyone says the market is going higher,
• The market continues to be overbought. The market needs to back and fill to be healthy.
• The drunken orgy continues to a blow off top 1k more points up, Euphoria will take the market to even higher highs
• I don’t really expect it to go lower anymore. But I’m short calls, so just hoping that my answer can influence reality.


AD: The Ultimate Online Trading, Investing, and Wealth Building Education Confrence starts Monday, click here to learn more.


Question #4. What trading-related questions or topics would you like the experts to discuss on future episodes of the weekly Crowd Forecast News show? (The show is off this coming week for Wealth365, but back on July 22nd.)

• Impact of gold on the market. Brexit repercussions. Repatriation of American jobs.
• Forecasting options time decay
• protect principal/
• Leverage etfs
• Need to know which are good Stocks to trade options for.
• Market Sentiment, Fund Flows,
• profit
• tarriffs


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• waar with Iran how will affect us


Both shows are off this coming week so you can attend Wealth365 instead!

Wealth365 is the largest free online trading and investment conference in the world. Join us and discover the best tips & strategies, directly from celebrity personalities, financial advisers, champion traders, and business thought leaders.

Click here to learn more.

The TimingResearch shows will be back on July 22nd…


Crowd Forecast News Episode #231
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, July 22nd, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #86
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, July 23rd, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


AD: The Ultimate Online Trading, Investing, and Wealth Building Education Confrence starts Monday, click here to learn more.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #85

AD: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex.


Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
6:30 – AAPL
13:20 – MGM
21:20 – KEY
27:10 – ROKU
33:20 – UBER
41:20 – WMT
45:50 – WYNN
52:20 – Trade ideas of the week.
1:01:00 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Larry: How to Trade Seasonality Cycles & Trends

From Matt: How To Consistently Target Profits In A Hostile Market

From Anka: Subscribe to Anka’s weekly videos on YouTube

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

Other Special Offers:

From Dustin Pass: Secrets Of The Elite – Traders That Never Lose

From TopstepTrader: Need more capital to trade? Click for Futures or Forex


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

AYT070919