Crowd Forecast News Episode #228

AD: Thursday: How To Beat The Market Investing Just Once A Week.


Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Michael Guess of DayTradeSafe.com
– Andrew Keene of AlphaShark.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
0:00 – Introductions.
3:00 – Question #1; Higher or Lower?
10:40 – Question #4; What procedures do you use for trade management?
16:20 – Question #3 and additional discussion.
44:00 – Trade examples from today.
56:00 – Closing statements.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Michael: Achieve Up To 86.7% Accuracy In Your Entries and Never Risk More Than $100 Per Contract

From Andrew: Master the Skills You Need to Trade Full Time!

From Marina: Day Trading for Beginners GET FREE Mini Course NOW

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

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Other Partner Offer:

What Separates The 1% Investor From The 99%?

This coming Thursday, Steven Brooks, who you’ve seen on the TimingResearch shows, is planning on sharing a brand new and unique strategy that he found where you can eliminate the amount of time you spend investing and potentially DOUBLE or even TRIPLE your returns…

By investing just one day out of the week!

And what’s even cooler about this strategy is that anyone, beginner or pro, can EASILY follow this strategy in as little as 5 minutes a week and start profiting immediately following Steven’s training.


CFN061719

1

Crowd Forecast News Report #299

AD: Thursday: How To Beat The Market Investing Just Once A Week.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport061619.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (June 17th to 21st)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 57.5%
Lower: 42.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 15.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 62.9%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 61.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 64.4%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.7%

Responses Submitted This Week: 42
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 38.2

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 56% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 61.0% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 58% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.04% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 57.5% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 61 times in the previous 298 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 56% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.06% Lower (the market moved Higher more frequently but the average of all moves was Lower) for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 56% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Partner Offer:

What Separates The 1% Investor From The 99%?

This coming Thursday, Steven Brooks, who you’ve seen on the TimingResearch shows, is planning on sharing a brand new and unique strategy that he found where you can eliminate the amount of time you spend investing and potentially DOUBLE or even TRIPLE your returns…

By investing just one day out of the week!

And what’s even cooler about this strategy is that anyone, beginner or pro, can EASILY follow this strategy in as little as 5 minutes a week and start profiting immediately following Steven’s training.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• fomc maybe
• Everything depends on the Fed this week!
• Seasonal trends, perceived oil disruption, and just intuition..
• World conflict
• The uptrend resumes anew after a horrible month of May.
• Price is above 50 SMA on day chart. Top price before 7 weeks is very near
• I think the U.S./China tariff deal will have positive signs of a deal.
• FOMC meeting
• Possibility of reduced interest rates and china trade deal.
• Holding pattern with upward bias
• wave 5 continues into July
• because profits were higher than thought.
• Iran, China, Mexico?????
• reversion
• momentum and hopefully dirth of new negatives

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• China & iran
• Fed disappoint the market, unrest in Middle East.
• iran
• received email stating 2 reasons why S&P could drop 250 points from reliable source.
• Seek the rate news on Wednesday
• sideways to lower move in slow summer market
• The market has lost momentum. The path of least resistance should be down.
• It looks like the tariffs will hang around more. Also, only a 20% chance that the Fed cuts rates this week, according to the Fed funds futures.
• Good news priced in FED stalling
• Can’t break resistance, slowing momentum
• Range Bound now
• new high new low divergence


Partner Offer:

What Separates The 1% Investor From The 99%?

This coming Thursday, Steven Brooks, who you’ve seen on the TimingResearch shows, is planning on sharing a brand new and unique strategy that he found where you can eliminate the amount of time you spend investing and potentially DOUBLE or even TRIPLE your returns…

By investing just one day out of the week!

And what’s even cooler about this strategy is that anyone, beginner or pro, can EASILY follow this strategy in as little as 5 minutes a week and start profiting immediately following Steven’s training.


Question #4. What procedures do you use for trade management? (e.g. position size, stops, scaling in or out, etc.)

• Wiege board
• position sizing and stops
• Scaling in and taking profits when a position hits at least 100%. Usually take about a quarter of the position in profits and let the rest ride.
• Ak
• All
• Position size and scaling.
• stops, position size
• 2% of size acc.
• set stops
• Stability.
• Limits in buying and selling
• position size
• Set St0ps
• Position size – usually about equal for each stock.
• scaling both ways
• trend, sma 3 and 10, MACD, 1/10 of protfolio its a 10% stop lost. Or daily moving average.
• I use time of day a lot for position sizing, (e.g. bank openings and bank closings) Then I also very often take 1. st profit after 3-4 pips (scaling out)
• short term moving average: 10 days, 15 days depending on fund volatility.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• June strong July flat Aug. Down on DOW
• Yeah herd stampede last week they get picked 0ff this week


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #228
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, June 17th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Michael Guess of DayTradeSafe.com
– Andrew Keene of AlphaShark.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #82
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, June 18th, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

What Separates The 1% Investor From The 99%?

This coming Thursday, Steven Brooks, who you’ve seen on the TimingResearch shows, is planning on sharing a brand new and unique strategy that he found where you can eliminate the amount of time you spend investing and potentially DOUBLE or even TRIPLE your returns…

By investing just one day out of the week!

And what’s even cooler about this strategy is that anyone, beginner or pro, can EASILY follow this strategy in as little as 5 minutes a week and start profiting immediately following Steven’s training.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #81

Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Bryan Klindworth of AlphaShark.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline (links open on YouTube):
0:00 – Introductions.
3:40 – IGT
9:10 – WYNN
15:30 – HSY
22:00 – WMT
26:00 – BOX
29:00 – TDOC
32:40 – CRM
36:40 – KHC
39:20 – WWE
44:00 – CXO
45:20 – SYK
47:10 – BABA
50:00 – TLT
52:10 – ZM
55:50 – TSLA
57:00 – Trade ideas and closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Bryan: Master the Skills You Need to Trade Full Time!

From Marina: Day Trading for Beginners GET FREE Mini Course NOW

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

AYT061119

Crowd Forecast News Episode #227

Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Mark Sachs of RightLineTrading.com
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Mark: My 3 Simple & Fundamental Strategies To Trading that Give Me an Edge Every Day in the Markets

From John: The Mad Hedge Fund Trader is Your Source For Winning Trade Alerts, Real Market Wisdom, and Global Economic Insights!

From Norman: The Disciplined Trader Mastery Program (Free Trial)


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

CFN061019

Crowd Forecast News Report #298

AD: Download Now: Resource Market Millionaire eBook.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport060919b.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (June 10th to 14th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 61.0%
Lower: 39.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 22.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 67.4%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 68.2%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 66.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 2.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 41
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 38.2

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 58% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 73.2% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 73% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 4.43% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 61.0% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 60 times in the previous 297 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 58% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.09% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 58% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Partner Offer:

Resource Market Millionaire eBook: The Exact Investing Strategy I’ve Used to Make 1,000%+ Gains in the Natural Resources Market Again and Again

He lives over 2,400 miles from Wall Street and he doesn’t have an MBA. But thanks to an incredible – yet little-known – market niche, he’s turned a teacher’s salary into a huge personal fortune.

To get started right away, Click Here to Unlock Your Guide


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.5%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Chart
• wave 5 is real
• I think this is a big short squeeze and its gathering up a lot of retail traders in the uptrend
• Judging from what I’m seeing, investors are anxious, after a dismal May. Institutional investors are starting to get into the market.
• Trade deal with Mexico seem to be moving forward and possibility of future cuts in interest rates.
• up in a “B” wave
• Momentum
• weekly close was strong, possibly a sell the news events
• A quick return to 50 SMA on the daily chart indicates a slight correction at the beginning of the week and then a 50 SMA on the daily chart
• Regained 200 and 50 dma in 1 week. That means this week we will see the rise stall after going higher. Then possible fall for summer swoon.
• Elliott Wave pattern.
• Trade concerns are fading for now.
• Because president trump did not tariff the Mexicans
• Removal of the uncertainty of Mexico tariffs
• relief rally

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Tariffs with China and
• Closed below the High; Profit taking and possible bad news over the weekend
• Mr Trump
• Market top absorbed money
• Friday’s rally was exhaustive. Recent lows need to be retested.
• trend is down and DCB over
• up one week, down the next
• series of higher highs, now a regression
• Sell the news
• China
• I’m going with the Oct-Nov 2018 pattern. If that pattern continues, a top was reached on Fri; and the next leg is down.
• resistance levels


Partner Offer:

Resource Market Millionaire eBook: The Exact Investing Strategy I’ve Used to Make 1,000%+ Gains in the Natural Resources Market Again and Again

He lives over 2,400 miles from Wall Street and he doesn’t have an MBA. But thanks to an incredible – yet little-known – market niche, he’s turned a teacher’s salary into a huge personal fortune.

To get started right away, Click Here to Unlock Your Guide


Question #4. What type(s) of trading do you specialize in or focus on? How did you come to that decision?

• Selling credit sreads
• SPY Options Based on chart
• Only Options
• Long term. And swing trading
• Emini S&P 500 index far-out-of-the-money option selling. So I don’t really care market direction.
• trying to decide ..mainly doing options cause of small account size
• Primarily stocks, but have some gold and muni’s.
• Forex. Moves most.
• day trading (income) and position holding (retirement)
• futures. Believe last week was a corrective move.
• Stocks and options. I have some training in options trading.
• stocks, less complex.
• options, less capital
• Intraday trading.
• Quick trades in stocks that have risen or fell due to circumstance, not fundamentals. They sharply reverse then resume their trend.
• Day trading futures. I came to this decision primarily because of market volatility producing larger overnight moves.
• Charts. Follow the price movement
• Very short term with get out trades ready to go prior to initiating trade
• Options
• Options and swing .trading . options I chose because of the lower risk and swing trading because sometimes you can’t use options
• Swing trading; 2-10 days. With my job, I can’t do intraday.
• patterns, price action
• spreads slow but safer


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Market will go up and then down
• can you resend out webinar replays?? wasn’t able to attend live session
TimingResearch response: All TimingResearch shows are publicly available immediately after recording on the TimingResearch.com homepage and the TimingResearch YouTube account. I also send an email out with the archive link 2 hours after recording each episode to everyone who is subscribed to the newsletter.
• Am anxious to have our politicos approve the use of marijuana on a national basis. I believe this would unlock untold fortunes, while powering the economy higher.
• None.
• Can we tell from charts when major short selling is happening to a stock; are there any indications that are different to or distinguishable from regular sell offs.
• I think the “SS” by the house this week in an attempt to prove our President Trump obstructed a crime the Mueller report said he didn’t commit, will pull this overbought market lower
• Nothing comes to mind,


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #227
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, June 10th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Mark Sachs of RightLineTrading.com
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #81
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, June 11th, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Bryan Klindworth of AlphaShark.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

Resource Market Millionaire eBook: The Exact Investing Strategy I’ve Used to Make 1,000%+ Gains in the Natural Resources Market Again and Again

He lives over 2,400 miles from Wall Street and he doesn’t have an MBA. But thanks to an incredible – yet little-known – market niche, he’s turned a teacher’s salary into a huge personal fortune.

To get started right away, Click Here to Unlock Your Guide

Analyze Your Trade Episode #80

Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jerremy Newsome of RealLifeTrading.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions and General market discussion.
11:50 – XLNX
17:40 – SQ
25:20 – NVDA
32:20 – LDOS
38:50 – ZTS
45:50 – FB
54:30 – TWTR, QCOM, and closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Jerremy: Create an account today and learn how to trade the market!

From Michael: CandleLightTrading.com – Lighting the Way to Profitability


Email Alerts

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By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

AYT060419

Crowd Forecast News Episode #226

Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
– Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Jake: Jake’s email updates

From Simon: Build A Profitable Trading Strategy In 15 Mins

From Dave: $100 Reusable Promo Code-Good For All Products At DaveLandry.com

From Norman: The Disciplined Trader Mastery Program (Free Trial)


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

CFN060319

Crowd Forecast News Report #297

AD: Download Now: Resource Market Millionaire eBook.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport060219.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (June 3rd to 7th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 26.8%
Lower: 73.2%
Higher/Lower Difference: -46.3%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 69.5%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 70.2%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.4%

Responses Submitted This Week: 46
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 38.5

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 73% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 56.3% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 57% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 2.76% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 73.2% Lower with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 11 times in the previous 296 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct 27% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.53% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 73% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Partner Offer:

Resource Market Millionaire eBook: The Exact Investing Strategy I’ve Used to Make 1,000%+ Gains in the Natural Resources Market Again and Again

He lives over 2,400 miles from Wall Street and he doesn’t have an MBA. But thanks to an incredible – yet little-known – market niche, he’s turned a teacher’s salary into a huge personal fortune.

To get started right away, Click Here to Unlock Your Guide


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• support line may be I think I guess maybe I guess
• Beginning of the month and new money should be hitting the stock market proportionately. We might even get some millennials involved.
• Surprise announcement of a trade deal with China
• Dead cat bounce
• because ts the right thing to do given that the chinese haven’t started a war yet.
• waiting for w4down to finish
• technicals and Put/Call ratio
• Momentum is bearish but there is a probability of a minor spike keeping the indices around 200 sub or above.
• I think the trade between USA-China will reach a small agreement

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• new tariffs on Mexico, continuing tariffs on China No new news on economy.
• trump
• crowd follow,
• Fridays epic selloff
• I sold my SDS last week near resistance, so of course the S&P will tank this week! LOL
• continue wave 2 down
• technical analysis
• momentum
• orderly correction to 200dma , pricing in rate cuts in dec/2019,bond market pricing it in. Crude big drop also adding to correction ,mexico,best to stand aside and wait for reversal .
• Mexico tariffs.
• The downside correction will continue. Major support lines are being broken.
• If the market acts like it did in Oct 2018, a rebound can come soon. But more likely IMO, with Mexico, China, yield curve inverting, and no infrastructure bill, this market moves downward more like in Jan 2016 and Dec 2018.
• Fib levels show retacement down to december lows, until market turn around
• chart analysis, support levels
• Impulsive POTUS. NO PLANS
• Your kidding? Fridays drop
• Slowing world economy
• Trend is down, trade wars
• Breaching support. Key weekly indicators show lower. Bonds increasing from institution cash.
• New terrific vs. Mexico.
• major support broken internals, momentum weak
• Market doesn’t like uncertainty and there’s SO much of it now.
• Mr Trump


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Question #4. What methods or techniques do you use to overcome the emotional aspects of trading?

• That is my biggest issue
• Mood
• I use stops and market timing
• what emotion ?
• Use physical stops
• Keeping my eye on long range objectives, scaling out of positions as the opportunities presents them.
• i haven’t figured a way to not be emotionaly involved in my trades as of yet
• Fibanacia
• Sit it out.
• entry/exit rules
• technicals.
• Stop loss on profits no losses
• Donchian channels and different periodic cycles
• Set lost at the daily movement average and the moment trend
• patterns, price action, correlations, options behavior.
• perspective, patience
• Haven’t found one yet. Any suggestions?
• Are you kidding? I’m very happy when a trade is profitable, and quite disappointed when a trade hits my stop. This is in spite of the risk/reward stuff which is supposed to keep me unemotional because I know that statistically, overall, my method should be profitable. I just accept that cannot keep emotions out of it.
• fixed stops
• fixed stops
• Still wrestle with them. 50/100/200 day MA.
• journaling
• algotrading
• Still trying after 20 years…Rely more on charts, money management, and separating trading from investments.
• Take some time, examine several charts before making a move.
• Try to follow a proven system but at end we succumb and fall to emotional flares.
• Talk with friends


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• No technical data looks positive
• this is a great survey
• What is the best to find stocks that are trending up? With over 12000 stocks seems impossible.
• Market wants to go higher but it’s being news driven down by Trump.
• Trading is no longer productive unless we have a real plan on certain time frames.


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #226
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, June 3rd, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
– Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #80
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, June 4th, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jerremy Newsome of RealLifeTrading.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

Resource Market Millionaire eBook: The Exact Investing Strategy I’ve Used to Make 1,000%+ Gains in the Natural Resources Market Again and Again

He lives over 2,400 miles from Wall Street and he doesn’t have an MBA. But thanks to an incredible – yet little-known – market niche, he’s turned a teacher’s salary into a huge personal fortune.

To get started right away, Click Here to Unlock Your Guide

Analyze Your Trade Episode #79

Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Mike Pisani of SmartOptionTrading.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
5:30 – general market discussion
13:30 – AMD
18:00 – XOM
19:30 – PANW
21:50 – MSFT
30:50 – TSLA
39:20 – C
44:30 – SHOP
50:00 – CVX
55:00 – Rapid Fire: CHD, V, USO, KSS, XLNX, ROKU
1:03:00 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Michael: CandleLightTrading.com – Lighting the Way to Profitability

From Mike: Millions of options are traded every day identifying which ones to trade is what we do. We want to help you do it too.


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AYT052819

Crowd Forecast News Report #296

AD: Download Now: Resource Market Millionaire eBook.


The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport052719.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (May 28th to 31st)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 43.8%
Lower: 56.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -12.5%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 66.6%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 62.1%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 70.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -7.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 33
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 38.4

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 57% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 55.8% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 58% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.56% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 56.3% Lower with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 37 times in the previous 295 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct 43% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.30% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 57% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.5%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 45.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


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Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Antiabrotion law signed by Bryant here
• We are due for a bounce!!!
• high demand of the security traded
• seasonal peak ends in May
• China trade agreement signed!
• wave 4 – unless not
• I think there is a bounce up after the last correction
• Really— not even 50%.
• momentum

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• bearish head & shoulders pattern
• Sucker rally pestering 0ut
• All of the above
• Sell Cross over of the 10,20 EMA, VIX going up during the rise of the SPX (happens only before big drops), before Trump blew the Dow Futures (+200) into -500 at a highly risky point on May 5th and Trump getting crazier as the investigations keep piling up.
• lot of uncertainty ,spx toggling around 2800 long time ,,see downside to 2776-200dma
• China’s new tarriffs
• There’s no buoyancy in the market, other than in defensive areas such as utilities, REITs, & gold. Inverted yield situation deteriorating, which suggests slower growth ahead.
• Historically worst six months of the year
• Bonds tanked the economic recovery ran its course
• The chart has done a topping pattern, and fundamentals are deteriorating.
• Trend turning to down
• Tariff talk.
• Down below 50dma and at 200dma. I think it pushes below 200da for a time…


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Question #4. What trading-related questions or topics would you like the experts to discuss on future episodes of the weekly Crowd Forecast News show? (The show is off this coming week, but back on June 3rd.)

• rading plan
• No
• Quit jaw-boning. Get on with it.
• Review 1929, 2007 and now along woth the Political Parites which were in power during each Crash
• which stocks are market makers likely to push this week?
• How high will gold move in the coming months?
• How to stay invested and protect the portfolio
• risk analysis..


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• How is quantity important in trade
• None…..
• which sector is due for a push?


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #226
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, June 3rd, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #79
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, May 28th, 2019
– 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

Fausto Pugliese, ex-SOES bandit and CEO of Cyber Trading University wants to prove to you that he and his students can reach their daily trading goals in less than 2 hours of trading each day!

This Thursday, May 30th at 12:00 pm ET, Fausto Pugliese is teaching a free class called “How to Make a Full-Time Income as a Part-Time Trader (in any market condition)

TAP HERE to RSVP for this FREE webinar!