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Crowd Forecast News Report #370

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 64.3%
Lower: 35.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 28.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 59.4%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 61.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.6%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 64% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


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Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Momentum
• too much un known
• The economic comeback
• Trend up continues
• The trend is intact

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• minor pullback then resume up until election 100 points lower
• No stimulus deal, election getting closer
• Last week’s high was on Monday; and it was approached on Friday; but then turned down toward the close. Expecting continuation of this latest down move.
• technical analysis


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• Economy
• Futures
• Not sure


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Which direction the economy going?


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Crowd Forecast News Report #369

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 64.3%
Lower: 35.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 28.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 59.4%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 61.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.6%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 64% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Momentum
• too much un known
• The economic comeback
• Trend up continues
• The trend is intact

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• minor pullback then resume up until election 100 points lower
• No stimulus deal, election getting closer
• Last week’s high was on Monday; and it was approached on Friday; but then turned down toward the close. Expecting continuation of this latest down move.
• technical analysis


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• Economy
• Futures
• Not sure


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Which direction the economy going?


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Crowd Forecast News Report #368

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 73.3%
Lower: 26.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 46.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 65.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 69.6%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 53.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: 15.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 16

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 63% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• correction over
• S&P moved above 3400, and looks like it wants to stay above. With hope that Congress will pass a stimulus package sometime, looking for S&P to continue up.
• Market does not want to go down, bounced from support.
• The technicals are pointing higher I think the market sees a trump win
• Seasonality COT Eminies with commercials are starting to sell off traditionally due to rising prices short to mid term

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• trump ..his health
• Uncertainty just before the election produces a selection of profits
• It seems to be moving up slowernow!
• Highly overbought with last week’s rally. No progress on stimulus


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• connection/relation between different currencies
• none
• Everything
• Psychology of trading


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

Crowd Forecast News Report #367

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport100420.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 46.7%
Lower: 53.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -6.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 69.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 72.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -6.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 17
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 24.6

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 63% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.0%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Without a vaccine and before the election this market has nothing on which to base a major move in either direction
• up into election
• my work says the SPX is going higher on Monday
• It’s a toss up. Depends a lot on the health of Trump

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• With the POTUS in the hospital, uncertainty has heightened on top of the election outcome. I’m scared too!
• Price on the S&P500 daily chart closed below the 50 SMA. Price at Resistance on weekly chart. Volatility high. Market indecisive. (4 weekly dojis). Market jittery due to Geopolitical conditions. President Trump in the hospital due to testing positive for the Corona Virus. Market does not like uncertainty.
• Momentum is slipping downward and interest in buying is waning, influenced by the large effect of covid on our economy.
• The trend has changed to down and it looks like the bounce is over. Trump and covid can only bring uncertainty.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• futures trading
• I can make money every single trade I take.
• OPTION credit and debit Spreads rules
• Always trying to learn more


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies

Crowd Forecast News Report #366

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport092020.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 57.1%
Lower: 42.9%
Higher/Lower Difference: 42.9%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 66.1%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 66.9%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 65.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 1.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 14
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 24.8

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 63% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• End of quarter, folio managers have to fill their books.
• Dead cat bounce coming
• corona medicin is on its way.
• We recently had a pullback that may have ended late last week. I voted higher w/a low confidence level because I believe we are at a point where you must see a move take off before you can trade it. No room for guesswork these days.
• New month new quarter
• The market moved up on Friday, after bouncing off the lower Bollinger band. There’s room for more upside; and decent payroll numbers this coming Friday could help the market more.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Big mutual funds are closing their books for the year
• 2nd wave of Covid concerns election nervousness unemployment numbers and lack of gov’t progress on stimulus
• It went up after 1400 on Friday and started the day with a drop, history possible will repeat itself.. i.e drop on Monday
• Politics
• market overvalued


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #4. What procedures do you use for trade management?

• Set stops on the core stocks I trade over & over
• stops
• chart reviews, overbought/oversold stocks/indexes, spreadsheet earnings calculations
• 1. macro statistics 2. big picture technicals. 3. Find stop loss close to entry. 4. trailing stoploss to volatility. 5 volume
• read and analyse charts, listen to professionals.
• Puts
• I have a set of rules in place that are truly burned into my brain matter. I place two types of option selling trades on a regular basis and my rules are so ingrained that it now mechanical for me. When to place the trade, when to adjust etc, almost on autopilot.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies

Crowd Forecast News Report #365

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport092120.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 31.3%
Lower: 68.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: -37.5%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 72.8%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 68.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 75.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -7.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 16
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 25.1

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 55% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.1%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 72.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• New Supreme Court Justice will be added
• Wash out of bears
• why. i’ll let you figure it out.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• technical chart
• Seasonal pressure. Funds taking profits. Possible margin calls from retail.
• The S&P looks like it peaked a few days ago, and is now pointing down and toward its next support at 3200 or lower.
• Correction continues
• Post Sept expiration seasonal negative
• The fear of cov-19 & uncertainty in our economy & our divisive politics is forcing our markets to become more bearish.
• a lot of bad news over the weekend
• COVID still rages and the election chaos still goes on and even more so with the Supreme court nomination fighting.
• market overvalued


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #4. Which market or asset type have you made the most money from trading so far this year?

• US stocks
• Stocks by a large amount
• Equities.
• Companies dealing with heavy metals
• apple & technology sector
• precious metals
• Tech
• lost not made. i follow people


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• If we have a democratic win, the markets will slowly recover with less fear & become more progressive toward economic technology, climate change, education, health care & equality that helps all people.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies

Crowd Forecast News Report #364

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport091420.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 35.7%
Lower: 64.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -28.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 72.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: -12.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 56% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• The S&P is just above it’s lower Bollinger band; and has been staying above this lower band for months. So, a rise is more likely.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• This market is losing money because the election is soon to arrive after that there will be nothing to hold this market up
• still correcting
• By day chart price going to 200 SMA.
• The uptrend has been broken
• R on Daily
• Increase in Corporate debit & Vaccine delay


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #4. What is the best advice you’ve seen on the topic of Trading Psychology?

• set stops
• Have a plan
• Reduce trading time to a minimum and to stay as fresh as possible.
• Keep your emotions in check while trading, as they tend to lead one to make unfortunate moves.
• Only trade with an edge
• Trader should be ready to manage RISK only not an outcome.
• Don’t stress


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies

Crowd Forecast News Report #363

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport090820.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 72.7%
Lower: 27.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 45.5%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.5%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 70.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.5%

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 68% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.1%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Because I believe it should be lower.
• trend is still up and a bullish daily candle printed Friday.
• There was a broadly based reversal to the upside on Friday, suggesting that the uptrend channel is still in place for a while longer.
• 40B monthly into treasuries by FED Run up to Sept expiration. Afterwards is troublesome for equities
• earnings reports non farm and factory orders confirming

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Overvalued needs correction to create more upside


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #4. What are your top questions about Investing & Long-Term Trading?

• swing trade techniques
• greeks


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

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Crowd Forecast News Report #362

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport083120.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 80.0%
Lower: 20.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 60.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 72.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 72.5%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 71.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 0.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 26.0

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 59% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 75.0% predicting Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 58% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 2.63% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 80.0% predicting Higher and with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 37 times in the previous 361 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 59% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.03% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 59% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.2%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 62.7%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


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Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Trend
• Split in AAP and TSLA will enable investor to buy more shares.Means more volume/demand and hence it will go up. It depend deal of TIK TAK that will jack the market more with an increase in Walmart and Microsoft stock prices.
• Philips curve gone
• Trend is still up
• It looks like by the end of the year the price will go to 4150 according to EW. So far, the trend is behaving like a perpetual mobile.
• Everything is going well. More good news than bad
• Election soon
• good till the election
• Trump is pulling in more votes n the polls with the Senate Red map

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• S&P at 3500 should be the short-term resistance level; looking for an orderly pullback.
• Divergence


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #4. What topic(s) would you most like to learn about related to trading or investing?

• Inside trading and hoe it effects.
• New stocks
• Psychology
• VHF trading lacks human weaknesses, so no known strategy can be applied against it.
• Interest rates
• options stategies
• Profit


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Very soon or lator TSLA will burst as it has hardly any big no of cars and nothing so fast to come in market.Prices are being pushed up


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

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1

Crowd Forecast News Report #361

AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport082420.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 75.0%
Lower: 25.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 50.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 70.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 67.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 3.3%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 26.4

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 58% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 66.7% predicting Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 65% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.50% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 75.0% predicting Higher and with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 36 times in the previous 360 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 58% of the time but with an average S&P500 move of 0.04% Lower for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 58% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.1%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your best email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and marketing emails. You can unsubscribe at any time.
Privacy Policies


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Low confidence due to divergence in rates of change with SPY, IWM, QQQ Positive 40B monthly into Treasuries Positive COT Commercials buying Eminis and have been so for some time
Negative Very high sentiment by Small Trader. Usually small trader is wrong short term
• End of the month trading, more news is going to be released that will bump the markets higher
• The 20 and 50 MAE keep going up away from 200 MAE
• Irrational exuberance
• The bull is running until the election
• Trend
• Luquidity. News. Momentum.
• Optimism. Enthusiasm of APPL and TSLA stock split. Last week of August and lots of money needs to be invested in the market since interest rate is so low.
• The trend continues

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Lower Breath and negative volume
• The S&P appears to have stalled near the 3400 area. Also the latest leg of the advance is now long enough where a trace back is to be expected.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Question #4. What topic(s) would you most like to learn about related to trading or investing?

• currency exchange
• forecasting
• Psychology
• How to trade futures and how to use TOS tool for futures trading.
• Vix. Commodities.
• How find stocks with high momentum.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• I don’t pay attention to the COVID madness. I do not believe the commercials for the most part do either.


AD: 2 Incredible Traders Debrief Post-Crash Markets (watch here)

Email Alerts

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