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Crowd Forecast News Week #399

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 63.6%
Lower: 36.4%
Higher/Lower Difference: 27.3%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 65.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 60.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 72.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -11.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 11


LIVE: Join us Monday for the Crowd Forecast News show, episode #299! (click here)


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Pro bono
• wave 5 to 426
• I am hoping that as the economy continues to get back up to speed this will have a good impact on the mkt

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Retrenchment
• Sentiment
• No news or market changes stronge enough to move it higher or lower.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• de minimis non curat lex


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Crowd Forecast News Week #395

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 77.8%
Lower: 22.2%
Higher/Lower Difference: 55.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 62.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 7.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 9


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Stimulus
• free money. lots of millenials
• Nowhere else to go nut bitcoin which is now a frenzy
• Slightly higher before earnings reports/

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Is time for correction. Opposite before pandemic high is price about 65% up!


Question #4. What styles of trading or methodologies have you had the most success with?

• None
• Moving Average Crossovers
• swing trading
• None trade my gut
• Charts. Moving averages.
• Intra daily.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Keep up the good work, thanks.


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Crowd Forecast News Week #394

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 71.4%
Lower: 28.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: 42.9%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 77.9%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 79.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 75.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 4.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 14


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Nice uptrend in place
• SPY to 420
• all says higher
• govt printing more money
• Been moving up each day. I’m Long so expect to continue higher.
• Momentum
• I just follow which the market is going.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• G0tta dr0p s0metime
• Technical charts showing high RSI


Question #4. What is your favorite indicator to use on your charts?

• MACD
• Elliott Wave
• accum/distribution
• DMI
• 20 day average
• stock charts, barchart.com
• S M A 20 50 200


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Selling Calls for protection.
• no comment.

transparency and Simplification


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Crowd Forecast News Week #393

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 87.5%
Lower: 12.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 75.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 67.8%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.4%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 50.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 20.4%

Responses Submitted This Week: 16


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Vaccine news is positive qsometimes alittle
• above all moving averages
• We’re on a roll to higher and better financial news !
• Seasonality Cannot determine today since COT is not released til Monday
• the only place to earn any monry
• I’ am not sure.
• April is traditionally a good month.
• The FED
• SPY wave 5 should continue to 161%

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• pro bono


Question #4. Did you purchase any $ARKX (ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF) when it launched this last week, and/or do you own any other ARK ETFs? Why or why not?

• no exporation is goid but expensive too maybe i guess some
• no hadn’t known about them.
• no
• No however thanks for bringing this to my attention. I did make a killing on SPCE when it dropped with APR options expiration.
• no, other shares more attractive
• no, did not have enough funds to purchased and not in my portfolio.
• No. Own ARKF
• N0 I don’t even trust bitcoin
• no
• no
• de minimis non curat lex


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

•no comments.

transparency and Simplification


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Crowd Forecast News Week #392

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 75.0%
Lower: 25.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 50.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 72.5%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 76.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 60.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 16.7%

Responses Submitted This Week: 8


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Seasonality and short week.
• Good news from Friday
• End of month.
• Resuming uptrend.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Technically and for momentum reasons I was original bullish. But after the Monday’s ”smoke” about the margin calls on a hedge fund , I change my vote to bearish, waiting to see what’s going on.
• The market (SPX) is expected to top out in the 4000 region and roll over by this Friday.


Question #4. Related to trading or investing what do you want to learn more about this year?

• Sell covered calls
• How fear is spreading on markets. Please don’t laugh!!!


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none


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Crowd Forecast News Week #391

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 66.7%
Lower: 33.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 33.3%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 70.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.6%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 68.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: 1.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 12


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Bounce from last week
• new highs in a/d line new highs in cum volume….going higher for how long?
• With the stimulus checks being distributed that will boost consumer confidence.
• Fed Report
• New Stimulus checks Flow into market at feverish rate.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• High Yield Bonds are on their way and they broke below key level for the 4th time…and 73% of stocks over their 50 MA’s the SPY is oversold. And the amount of Insider Selling is at a 13 year high.
• The trends about technology at this week indicate my opinion
• Last week price action Biden a disaster as President


Question #4. What asset and/or type of trading/investing have to made the most profit with so for in 2021?

• Covered Calls
• depending on the time frame…Short term is was puts on the recent down turn from Feb 24 to Mar 4…Long term was buying oversold penny stocks
• Companies that sale online
• The Currency Market.
• 401K
• Bullish etf’s
• Futures


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Perhaps the aeronautical companies are a good option to the end of the year
• None at this time.


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Crowd Forecast News Week #390

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 90.0%
Lower: 10.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 80.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 71.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 72.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 55.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 17.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 9


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Some people have already received $1,400 through direct deposit and these people will spend right away. March seasonality, it’s up average 2.4% in last two decades. The early March sell off should be over though volatility will be up this week due to monthly and quarterly expirations.
• new highs in most averages, strong A/D line with cum volume. New highs are also strong
• The Fed. has the S & P 500 back. Plenty of cash that can come into the market.
• The premiums on the S&P calls are way higher than the puts so until this changes the market will keep going higher.
• interest rates are going to be lower

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• none


Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Thank you so much for weekly analysis and posting recording quickly. I really appreciate. Thank you!!
• I am not 100% they will go up Monday, this market is going higher.


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Crowd Forecast News Week #389

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 55.6%
Lower: 44.4%
Higher/Lower Difference: 11.1%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 63.9%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 60.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 7.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 9


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• $1.9T rescue plan passed in senate and will give the economy a boost. J&J vaccine has been shipped to some states. With three vaccines are available Americans will be vaccinated much faster. States are starting to open up. But Covid-19 B117 is spreading fast. People still die every day. Just lost a good friend recently.
• Based on trends, I see the market moving higher this week but dip a it when President Biden signs the COVID Relief before moving upward again after the stimulus money actually begins to arrive and be spent. I am relatively sure that the majority of spending from this will be in consumer style purchases such as TVs, other high tech electronics and other luxury items while very little of it will be used for Rent, Car Payments or Groceries.
• New lows did not expand in fact new highs were 215 to93 new lows. A little better than average volume and we were short term oversold, especially in the Nasdaq. Also a very big good candle on Friday we should follow thru for a few days maybe the week. Then we will see if they challenge the lows or just keep going north. I think we will challenge and even go to new highs in most if not all the averages. After that will be the question. The next downturn will be more painful. Good luck

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Could go either way, depending on whether or not the Fed does anything…in my humble opinion
• Rates will rise
• Market is was oversold.


Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• You’re doing great! A lot of your materials are very helpful. Thanks.


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Crowd Forecast News Week #388

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 53.8%
Lower: 46.2%
Higher/Lower Difference: 7.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 69.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.1%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 71.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -4.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 13


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• From Monday’s ISM Man. PMI report to Friday’s nonfarm payrolls I expect to see undecisive behavior. A reaction is expected. The ”candy” of bonds will play significant role. Interesting week, interesting month.
• 1 is higher 2 is 100% lower Joe Biden, no national energy, street people, jobless in North Dakota, Biden spending $86,000,000 for masks that should coat approximately $30,000,000 even if they are as good as the hospitals, Harris’ and Biden’s personal paybacks to foreign interests. Oh, and Gore is back!
• Bounce from last week

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Price is under 50 SMA on day chart. The price will reach at least the long-term trend line at a price of around 3650.
• expected move and fibonacci, expect it ot touch on 3700
• Fear of rising interest rates Fear new COVID variants will slow recovery


Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none


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Crowd Forecast News Week #387

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 61.5%
Lower: 38.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 23.1%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 61.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 61.9%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 60.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 1.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 14


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Last week I forecast higher with any near term retracement to be short-lived and followed by at least an attempt to make new highs. It was a short week, and even a short retracement might impact Friday’s finish. The Thursday (2/18) major indices’ lows marked a short term low line in the sand. Friday’s range in all indices was higher, and I expect this to continue higher and a test of the previous indices highs to be made shortly.
• Slight gain in the market
• I think we are at the bottom of a channel and believe support has held and we will raise to the higher end of a channel this week. But I do believe a 10-15% correction is possible over the next month or two.
• Just guessing. Lost last week because of power outage.
• Higher I hope. No idea really, power was off for 6 days. Just starting to get caught up on what’s going on.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• a retest of 3840 supp/res
• dollar weak
• Vaccine is not approved for everyone yet free


Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none


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