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Crowd Forecast News Report #276

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport010619.pdf


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals. You’ll see how on this online training.


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (January 7th to 11th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 63.9%
Lower: 36.1%
Higher/Lower Difference: 27.8%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.8%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.9%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 65.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 5.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 38
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 43.5

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 69% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 60.7% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 56% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.32% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 63.9% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 29 times in the previous 275 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 69% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.19% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 69% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.3%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 45.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• cause up
• New lows have disappeared and this week is historically up
• Some of the technicals (Fibonacci levels) indicate that next week will be up
• 1. Oversold last 2-3 months 2 Solution of China tax issues 3.January reinvestment/new funds 4. Easing of potential interest rate increase
• Historically best six months
• measured move down with a reversal up accompanied by 10 times up volume to down volume
• Market structure tells we are in a down trend. The market has already come down a lot so any upward move now is a short-term pullback.
• Blue chips have hit several times book value, the mark of bear market bottoms. Value buyers are coming in.
• momentum
• random up week in a down market
• Still looking for a move up to the next resistance of 2575 or a bit higher, before the market turns back down.
• volume
• Upmove was very strong I don’t think it’s over yet even if this might be just a bear market upmove.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Sell programs
• Major down trend
• The reasons for the markets decline have not changed. The hope for change created strong short covering. The reality of “no” change will drive the markets lower again.
• We closed high on Friday and on Saturday we have a Solar Eclipse and Uranus goes direct, this normally means a reversal in the market not a continuation. Friday next week the Sun and Pluto goe into a conjunction often meaning a bottom.
• we hit the 20ema and feel we will head back down to re-test
• The downside correction continues until the public says “Just let me out”.
• market overbought
• needs to consolidate
• Downtrend continues


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals. You’ll see how on this online training.


Question #4. What advice would you give and/or what resources would you recommend to someone who is new to trading?

• Learn about seasonality, market cycles, and sentiment.
• Learn skills first, then test them, then test them again.
• go in slowly-no rush unless you are sure and nobody is sure!
• finviz.com-investopedia.com–vixcentral.com-
• be a forever student
• go with your gut
• Study price action on twitter.
• Cut losses short
• McClellan oscillator don’t count on Santa
• coin flip
• Test everything thoroughly!
• Don’t get too influenced by news headlines. Learn candlestick charting.
• Learn how to read charts before you trade, especial candlesticks.
• There are way too many gurus out there. Just find some indicators you like (they don’t have to be unusual ones) and draw trendlines and look at support and resistance areas and keep your stops.
• Study the fundamentals first then the technicals
• Have a trading plan, always honor stops, and don’t exceed a preset daily loss limit
• study charts voraciously brush up math if needed go slow paper trade like you mean it open a small account – take real trades 1 lots so if it costs you commission so what, did you get you degree for free or even if scholarship, someone paid for it no pain no gain.enjoy it or do not bother-if its torture find a business you like and do that with the same described focus and attention.. this paragraph is copyrighted please do not use it publish it.. i will find it online ‘nopainnogain not included
• Stop trading


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Study study study and sim trade for a long long long time to get the feel . Read some of the best books on investing and trading. Turn off the TV. Learn to read price action and order flow. Key in on the market forces that move prices and measure them.
• It may take longer than you think, but don’t give up.
• no
• thanks for your interest.


Both shows are back this week!


Crowd Forecast News Episode #209
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, January 7th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– John Hoagland of TopstepTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #61
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, January 8th, 2019
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals. You’ll see how on this online training.

Crowd Forecast News Report #275

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport123018.pdf

Scroll down for the full web version of the report.


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (December 31st to January 4th)?

Higher: 60.7%
Lower: 39.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 21.4%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 59.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 58.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 60.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.2%

Responses Submitted This Week: 30
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 43.8

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 56% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 61.0% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 83% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 3.55% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 60.7% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 27 times in the previous 274 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 56% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.07% Lower for the week (one of the rare circumstances where the market went up more frequently but the overall average move was negative for these weeks). Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 56% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.1%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 45.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Republicans majority
• best six months of the year historically
• Because the RSI and the Fast Stockastic are very low with inclinations to go up. The MACD IS ALSO with inclinacion to go UP.
• Value buyers thinking the market will try to protect against the possibility that the selling will subside somewhat before any considerable big down days again appear.
• momentum and volatility trends
• start monday higher or lower but end of week will slightly higher. hedge all trades to make money
• New Year rally
• With the market oversold, looking for a move up to the 2575-2600 range of resistance.
• Selling in the market seems to have slowed a little.
• Which direction will confuse people the most? Higher will confuse us.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Sell programs
• higher thru tuesday then drop , but not sure if it will go below this week low
• All the things that tanked the markets are still in play but it is oversold enough for some good positive days to happen until it becomes overbought and drops again.
• Govt. shutdown.
• The downside correction will continue until the public says “Just get me out”.
• trend is down and the bear rally is over
• Relief rally over(?)


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!


Question #4. What are you hoping to learn more about, or change, or improve related to your trading or investing in 2019?

• cut losses short
• EM
• swing trading
• Profit
• Bonds 3 percent opens plans to start a bond portfolio
• I want to receive a list of stocks to BUY and stocks to SELL when experts using a very complex computer program can decide when is the right time. I do not want to read lots of information about many companies when some one can provide me the list of stocks already found by experts.
• To get a better picture of the thinking of the big fund managers relative the the recent trading activity.
• money management ,, how to use stop loss on new platform
• Fewer trades. More smarter trades.
• Be more patient about jumping into trades.
• Get better understanding of option spreads.
• keep better records


BONUS: Where do you think the S&P500 will close for 2019 (relative to where it will close for 2018)?


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• I wish to have the right recomendations with you using the right tools to decide what to BUY and what to SELL and the right time. VECTORVEST is a program that can do it.
• keep up the informative viewpoints


The shows are off this week but join us again on January 7th!


Crowd Forecast News Episode #209
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, January 7th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– John Hoagland of TopstepTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #61
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, January 8th, 2019
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!

Crowd Forecast News Report #274

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport122318.pdf

Scroll down for the full web version of the report.


Partner Offer:

Disciplined Trader Mastery Program: Now There’s a Simple and Easy-To-Follow System For Gaining Control of Your Mental Game and Finally Live Your Dream of Independence and Financial Security


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (December 24th to 28th)
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 39.0%
Lower: 61.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -22.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 62.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 71.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: -9.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 42
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 44.2

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 83% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 53.1% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 55% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 6.72% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 61.0% Lower with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 12 times in the previous 273 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct only 17% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.67% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 83% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Partner Offer:

Disciplined Trader Mastery Program: Now There’s a Simple and Easy-To-Follow System For Gaining Control of Your Mental Game and Finally Live Your Dream of Independence and Financial Security


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.3%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Year end rally
• Retracement and then further down
• time for a pause in the slaughter
• We are very low now.
• Spy 240 held Build from here
• Correction to the upside. A lower low will follow in the following week.
• Dead cat bounce/santa rally
• I see it as a pullback. Getting ready for another bigger downward plunge in New Year.
• Institutions have to rebalance. Will pick up undervalued stocks going into new year.
• short term : CBOE Equity put/call ratio closed too high. longer term: fundamentals are ok. Market is concerned only because of China and uncertainty with U.S. politics.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• redemption of funds by managers closing the books and washing their slate clean investor sentiment
• Sentiment
• Tariffs, government shutdown, interest rates
• More panic selling to continue
• So many uncertainties which the market usually hates and the recent weakness shows no signs of abating
• according to the sentiment of the market the price will go to support 1800 (in about 2 months)
• Continued down trend
• It’s hard to fight the direction of the market.
• There’s no meaningful S&P support until somewhere below 2300. No Santa rally showing up. Pres. Trump must be angry at Santa, but he can’t fire him.
• I no longer believe a CRASH is going to occur and now believe we are simply in a fairly intense bear market and when this ends the market will take off again and surpass highs of the recent past, possibly breaking 30K, maybe even 40K DOW and then when the US is about the only nation that has not seen its markets crash, It will happen here, probably in the next 2 to 4 years at which point the world will go into a depression lasting at least a decade, possibly 2.
• The downside correction continues.
• Gov’t shutdown
• SPX is in bearish market and just experience the “death cross”.
• No serious buyers
• Everyone is bearish now and all bulls are being wiped out
• The Market is oversold. The companies have bought back billions of their own shares. They have shorted their own stocks with covered calls.
• support broken McClellen oscilator
• Big money never Trumpers trying to sink American economy.


Partner Offer:

Disciplined Trader Mastery Program: Now There’s a Simple and Easy-To-Follow System For Gaining Control of Your Mental Game and Finally Live Your Dream of Independence and Financial Security


Question #4a. Which of these have you traded in the last year? 

Question #4b. Which software programs and/or platforms have you used to execute your trades?
(For those who responded to #4b their answers to #4a are shown below before their #4b asnwer.)

• Stocks/ETFs, Options, Futures – Streetsmart Pro 3T Futures
• Stocks/ETFs, Options – Interactivbrokers
• Stocks/ETFs – Fidelity TC2000
• Stocks/ETFs – Think or Swim
• Stocks/ETFs, Futures – TD
• Options – Schwab
• Stocks/ETFs, Options – TradeStation
• Options – thinkorswim
• Options, Futures – Interactive Brokers. Fills are awesome even though their margining is difficult.
• Futures – Ninja Trader Platform. No software only look at price.
• Stocks/ETFs, Futures – TD
• Stocks/ETFs, Options, Futures – SAXO trader
• Futures – GCI fin., X-station, MT4
• Stocks/ETFs, Futures – interactivebrokers/fidessa
• Options – TOS
• Stocks/ETFs, Options, Cryptocurrencies – Options house
• Stocks/ETFs – E-Trade


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Trade tensions, tariffs, Powell Put, too much uncertainty coming out of Washington
• What’s coming is something different, something most will not expect. A drop of epic proportions..


The shows are off for the next couple weeks but join us again on January 7th!


Crowd Forecast News Episode #209
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, January 7th, 2019
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– John Hoagland of TopstepTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #61
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, January 8th, 2019
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

Disciplined Trader Mastery Program: Now There’s a Simple and Easy-To-Follow System For Gaining Control of Your Mental Game and Finally Live Your Dream of Independence and Financial Security

Crowd Forecast News Report #273

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport121618.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (December 17th to 21st)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 53.1%
Lower: 46.9%
Higher/Lower Difference: 6.3%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.4%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.1%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 70.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 34
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 44.4

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 55% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 59.5% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 71% Chance Lower; the S&P500 closed 1.17% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 53.1% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 29 times in the previous 272 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 55% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.16% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 55% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.5%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Santa Rally
• sentiment
• Counter-trend rally due to”Santa Claus” seasonal effect
• Santa Claus rally
• still buying
• oversold large short positions will be squeezed, SC rally
• Various factors including Fed and opex
• Oversold
• Last weeks high and low will be the range. I expect a bit lower on the first day or two and then a slow rise higher.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Global uncertainty abounds with Brexit, French unrest, China’s faltering economy, etc.
• Elliott wave pattern suggests the selling may intensify as the “point of recognition ” takes hold.
• Bears are in control. Positive news has negative reaction. Decent earnings reports are not well received. Rising interest rates.
• below the 20,50,200 ma,slong tza—
• The downside correction is intensifying. The move will not be over under the public says “Just let me out”.
• The weekly chart has the S&P well above its 200-week moving average. The S&P hit this in early 2016; and figures to fall to it again in the coming months. Mutual funds have low levels of cash available for buying.
• Told ya so since August
• support broken
• major support broken
• 50dma about to death cross 200dma?


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!


Question #4. What sort of hedging or portfolio protection strategies do you implement in your trading or investing?

• Closed my positions today and am in cash.
• Rebalancing switch to defensive preferred shares
• Dynamic stops
• stop losses
• No hedging, straightforward trading. Sink or swim.
• Stop Loss Orders
• Long spy puts and spreads
• Using options to assist in controlling risk exposure in core positions.
• long tza—-30%-cash to 50% cash
• puts


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Want to trade – not just remain in cash – but want to make a plan – so currently in very limited positions.
• All RSI’s are dropping at this time – month, week, Day, H4, H1. It will be news driven this week.
• If it looks like a bear & growls like a bear…..
• need to see a reversal candle and then 3-higher hi-s and higher lo,s to re-enter long on the 1yr daily chart


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #208
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, October 17th, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
– Fausto Pugliese of CyberTradingUniversity.com
– Bennett McDowell of TradersCoach.com
– Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #60
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, December 18th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!

Crowd Forecast News Report #272

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport120918.pdf


Question #Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (December 10th to 14th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 40.5%
Lower: 59.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -19.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.9%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 68.5%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 69.2%
Higher/Lower Difference: -0.7%

Responses Submitted This Week: 44
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 44.6

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 71% Chance Lower
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 73.7% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 58% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 5.64% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 59.5% Lower with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 17 times in the previous 271 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 71% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.21% Lower for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 71% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Lower this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.3%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• gut feeling
• Double bottom established in technical chart
• Oversold on the week and at support level.
• Holidays
• Proparity
• Oversold Bounce
• Markets have fallen to near-term support
• oversold buy
• Fed to the rescue.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• people will give up
• Futures are lower and indicators are lower. Plus trade issues
• Down trend
• the arrest of Huawei CFO and 3 months of mostly negative talks
• earnings and unemployment metrics
• general impression from chart review session.
• still below 200ma lower lo,s lower hi-s
• continued bad economic news
• I have created a MTF RSIxxx that shows the DAY has just rolled over with the H4 short, H1 short, M15 short. Yes, we will get some short-term pull back, but then further down we will go….
• The downside correction will continue until the public says “Just Get me Out”.
• GDP growth in 2019 is expected to decrease to 2.5%, maybe lower. Federal balance sheet being reduced. Tariffs still a drag. None of this is positive for the S&P.
• There will be no China deal in 2018. The interest rate hike is pretty certain.
• This week’s drop
• we are going down!
• people arre fearful with what the media is saying about the President and the creating divison
• That just seems to be the trend these days. Lower.


Partner Offer:

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Question #4. What indicator influences your trading the most?

• Bollinger band analysis
• technicals
• VIX–
• Liquidity
• The Fed
• trend – Mov avgs
• CCI trend
• Custom indicators I have created
• Bollinger bands, MACD.
• 200ma
• RSI for short-term moves
• Moving Averages
• sentiment
• price and volume
• Stochastic
• elliott wave theory
• RSI


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• people will blame everything. but it’s just over valuation and expectation of decreased profits and the Silicon valley execs gone insane
• Anyone who chooses 100% sure cannot be correct. It only takes 1 future event to make the ship change course.


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #207
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, December 10th, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Damon Pavlatos of FuturePathTrading.com
– Glenn Thompson of PacificTradingAcademy.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #59
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, December 11th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jerremy Newsome of RealLifeTrading.com
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Beauty of Options: In this free training, world renowned options trader, Jeff Bishop, will walk you through this ONE KEY SETUP that he uses daily to take advantage of crashing stocks. A small move in stock price can yield astronomical returns with options. Learn how here!

Crowd Forecast News Report #271

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport120218.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (December 3rd to 7th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 73.7%
Lower: 26.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 47.4%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 67.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 68.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 63.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 5.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 40
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 44.8

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 58% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 51.3% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 69% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 4.16% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 73.7% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 55 times in the previous 270 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 58% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.13% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 58% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Partner Offer:

Go Full Throttle with Top Gun Options! – A Week of Trading & Training December 3-6


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.5%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Deal with China
• Resultado of US and Chinese talos about tarde tarrifs.
• Trump’s info from Southamerica
• Continued Rally from oversold.
• g20 talks positive bias… Fed dovish
• I think there is some optimism about about a trade deal between America and China. Even a hint of a deal would cheer investors.
• es went above 2763.56-on friday close –bullish for me. however ,crude to 48 then 43-.watching CRUDE–and dollar -as catalyst to down-recession???/dollar above 97.63–could kill my bull thesis-crude to 48/43.00 kill bull…….
• AD line going up, NYSI positive
• trade news
• Holiday season optimism
• history
• Short-covering rally to occur following Pres Trump’s relaxation of Jan 1 tariffs.
• This past week had a nice reversal up from the previous down week. The tariff stuff is probably already built into the market. Looking for continuation up.
• China deal
• Bogus rally playing out market loses twenty percent in 2019
• Trump will make it seem as though the trade tariffs are being eased, and the fed has softened their stance. Also money managers need to make a good showing by year end and will be pushing the mono sticks higher.
• Satna Rally
• Continued rally to Xmas
• Stochastics rise a couple more days then ?

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• I answered lower. Yes, there could be a Santa Clause rally at this time? What I see is QQQ, IWM and SPY are all below the cloud on an ichimoku daily chart. All three are below or just touching the long-term M/A. All of my trend following indicators are pointing down. So there you have it, could continue higher for a while but I am expecting lower.
• Overbought market
• Trump/Xi negative outcome
• decreasing profit trend
• overbought short term
• It]s not so much that I believe markets will be lower next week as it is that I believe that once investors begin to realize the economy in general is really beginning to weaken and reverse course that market indexes begin seriously dropping. It begin next week or not but it is going to happen and sooner rather than much later. So I’m not predicting what will happen next week, necessarily. As the economy slows significantly, then the current spats of “irrational exuberence” will cease to occur as reality sets in.
• christmas / China
• Higher volatility happens in bear markets. Sudden large upmoves is what keeps hopeful bulls in the market even as it overall goes lower (ie in spite of the occasional large upmoves).


Partner Offer:

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Question #4. What procedures do you use to monitor and evaluate your trading results and progress over time?

• rate of change
• 3ema—-8ema——20ema—-167ma-multiple time frames–20yr monthly –5yr monthly-macro——-then 3month daily—-1yr daily micro–
• Watch financial news daily
• Journal and assessing other ways I could have done the trade better
• growing/shrinking bottom line
• I keep a simple spreadsheet of results, with a lot of room for notes what we could have done in a better way, mistakes and general observation how a particular stock or ETF behaves.
• Account balance
• A lot of journalling does not work for me. However sometimes there’s an important lesson learned and I’ll keep those highlighted on same page as my current trades so I’m forced to read it as a reminder. By “same page”, that’s my own list of trades entered on my own Excel spreadsheet.
• Input results of each trade into spreadsheet & study results of each trade in a post mortem review. Mark up charts of each trade & save file for future reference..
• Schwab
• financial software


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• When will this market turn down for the long tern


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #206
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, December 3rd, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)
– Sean Kozak of NeuroStreet.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #58
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, December 4th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Christian Fromhertz of TribecaTradeGroup.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

Go Full Throttle with Top Gun Options! – A Week of Trading & Training December 3-6

Crowd Forecast News Report #270

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport112518.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (November 26th to 30th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 51.3%
Lower: 48.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 2.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 64.7%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 69.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -9.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 41
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 45.1

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 69% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 58.5% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 64% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 3.60% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 51.3% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 13 times in the previous 269 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 69% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.28% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 69% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Partner Offer:

You Need This Woman In Your Life: The best part about Petra is not only can she locate and lock in reliable profits, she prides herself on eliminating risk and providing unparalleled educational services for her clients (learn more here).


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.3%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Oil dropping is what some people like maybe
• Market Oversold
• toenadererig met china begin december
• Positive trade talks with China
• Oversold, Advance decline line, Accumulation distribution, COT index
• W shape
• over sold bounce
• dead cat bounce
• history
• oversold buy
• Oil stocks should get a deda cat bounce taking the S&P up
• Beginning of Santa Clause rally.
• Short term rally based on stochastics.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Last week’s selloffs
• Market has been down trend for last three weeks and volitity high
• The index will probably test the February low 1530
• general feelings are negative
• Chart pattern in progress Tech sector will continue to see lower revised price targets
• rate of change growth metrics
• below the 200dma
• The downside correction continues until the public says “Just get me out”.
• The S&P tanked badly on Thanksgiving week (generally a plus week), and the FAANGS and financials show no desire to reverse up. The recent bounce pattern is that bounces are being sold.
• Trade concerns with China & G`20 meeting. Border confrontation
• year end selling, tax reasons also


Partner Offer:

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Question #4. What sort of hedging or portfolio protection strategies do you implement in your trading or investing?

• Covered Calls and Vertical Spreads
• monitor S&P very closely
• Puts
• went to cash
• Using options to hedge long term and core positions.
• buy the SQQQ——SH—–VXX CALLS—-SDS—SDOW—–Combination of these 5-10% of portfolio, 30% cash ,
• stop loss orders
• Covered calls
• Buy puts to hedge..
• Go preferred stocks etfs cefs
• However, I do not make any hedge.
• I close postns as my stops get hit
• VIXY
• cash optionality
• SDS Bull call spread out 2 weeks
• Short term put options on long positions


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• why are these newsetters telling us to buy and they the large investors, institutions, hedge funds are selling?
• keep up the good work.
• Looking forward to the webinar
• add inflation expectations
• Any credence to Raj call for 11/26 to be a swing low?


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #205
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, November 26th, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #57
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, November 27th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jerremy Newsome of RealLifeTrading.com (first time guest!)
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com
– Andrew Keene of AlphaShark.com
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

You Need This Woman In Your Life: The best part about Petra is not only can she locate and lock in reliable profits, she prides herself on eliminating risk and providing unparalleled educational services for her clients (learn more here).

Crowd Forecast News Report #269

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport111818.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (November 19th to 23rd)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 58.5%
Lower: 41.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 17.1%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 62.9%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 57.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: 8.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 42
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 45.2

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 64% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 51.4% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 75% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.36% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 58.5% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 25 times in the previous 268 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 64% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.33% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 64% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.5%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Gaps in technical charts of Dow, S&P and Nasdaq were filled on last Thursday. On economic fundamentals, US market should resume uptrend. Correction flushed out the froths. Market is very healthy now.
• Watching the chart and intuition
• The market is ripe for a rebound
• Sazonality
• Holidays
• Gut
• seasonal tendencies
• Thanksgiving week is usually an up week. The market held okay on Thurs & Fri, so some short-term upside is plausible.
• Best six months historically
• support
• higher low[week 11/2 compare to May ,April weeks] • holiday seasonality
• pull back in an uptrend after the recent sell off low
• seasonality
• We need some sort of double top before the real bear market hits us.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• the COD are never right .
• I think we have passed a support level which is now resistance
• A trend has started.
• most traders off for the holiday week
• The downside correction will continue until the public says “just let me out”. Retail earnings and expectations should be a drag on the market.
• sellers in control
• Market seems range bound. Interest rate concerns.
• Market upswing runs out
• momentum weak


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Question #4. Which trading platform or broker do you like the best for executing your trades?

• thinkorswim
• Fidelity and TOS
• Trade Station
• Tradestation
• Using Charles Schwab now. Not entirely satisfied.
• Tradestation, Interactive brokers
• Tasty trade
• Interactive Brokers
• E-Trade
• ninja
• Sogo
• Ally.
• Fidessa my broker is ADM(UK)
• Tradestation
• TradeStation
• AMP – Ninja
• AMP and Sierra Charts
• ninja trader


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• I like that third party indications created for Think or Swim are better than when created for Tradestation


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #204
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, November 19th, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com
– John Hoagland of TopstepTrader.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #56
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, November 20th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net

Click here to find out more!


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Crowd Forecast News Report #268

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport111118.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (November 12th to 16th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 51.4%
Lower: 48.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: 2.9%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 64.6%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 62.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 66.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -3.7%

Responses Submitted This Week: 37
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 45.2

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 75% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 70.6% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 58% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 2.00% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 51.4% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 12 times in the previous 267 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 75% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.41% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 75% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 72.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


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Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Wicker won
• Sazonality rebound with a bottom market situation.
• Earnings and holiday spending
• holidays
• Earnings reports.
• Seasonal …. strong month in November…. bullish overall ….
• Continued battle between bulls and bears, net up move into monthly expiration.
• history
• still buying
• Consumer confidence high Holiday spending will be up Possible trade agreement with China
• 2811 seems to be a good level for next week because of historical relevance of that level

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Current momentum downward will take some time to subside.
• Still in a down trend, below 50 SMA
• Mid-term elections are over, so seasonality factor is gone.
• spy below 277
• The downside correction continues until the public says “just get me out”.
• The S&P hit it’s weekly high on Thursday, then fell on Friday. This high was below the high of early October. This lower high suggests general market weakness. Concern about the Fed raising rates and tariffs is expected to continue.
• Feds next raise Wii send rates over 3%
• tariffs
• at resistance – sell rallies
• Elliot wave pattern
• Technicals turning over, plus a dearth of good news.
• The market was down last Thursday and Friday, Friday was bad.


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Question #4. What do you think are the main reasons why most traders are not successful and consistent? What could the average trader do to improve consistency?

• need a rule set to follow that profits in up and down markets and most don’t have that.
• Protective put
• discipline –put stops in first-patience
• trade less often
• Emotion
• DK
• I am not a successful swing trader as my brain fools me into taking the better looking trades and not the 3/10 ones which usually work out :(
• short term thesis
• Jumping into trades too early (before enough evidence is in) is a common problem.
• Inconsistent practices plus no mechanism to handle small losses as part of a larger successful plan.
• Follow a plan.
• Not having trade plan, rules
• Bad strategy
• Jumping in and out at the wrong time, at too large a position. Traders can do better by paying attention to logic of market moves, e.g., when sellers and buyers exhaust themselves on down and up moves.
• Don’t have a trading plan and if they do they don’t follow it consistently.
• Traders are there worst enemy… by far …. plus too much CNBC
• Lack of discipline. Turn off CNBC/Bloomberg/StockTwits, etc. Trade to your plan.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Nothing noted


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #203
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, November 12th, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com (moderator)
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com

Click here to find out more!


AYT is off this week but will be back on 11/20!

Analyze Your Trade Episode #56
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, November 20th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals.

You’ll see how on this online training.

Crowd Forecast News Report #267

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport110418.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (November 5th to 9th)?

Higher: 70.6%
Lower: 29.4%
Higher/Lower Difference: 41.2%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 67.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 66.5%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 69.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 34
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 45.3

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 58% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 68.4% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 67% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.51% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 70.6% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have been observed 26 times in the previous 266 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 58% of the time, and with an average S&P500 move of 0.29% Lower for the week (one of those rare conditions were the number of times the S&P500 moved Higher under the selected conditions was greater but the average of all the moves was Lower). Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 58% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.5%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 72.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• 1.US and China trade war has positive outlook according to president Trump. 2. The midterm election is getting close to be done and over with. 3. Traders sentiment is positive.
• bull melt up
• Do for a rebound
• 1. Seasonality 2. GOP retains and improves number of seats in both the House and Senate.
• S&P Making a rally attempt from oversold condition
• Pull back done. election elation will take over
• November is an up month
• Bounce up and cooling rhetoric.
• history
• buying
• Best six months of the year historically and buybacks
• There is massive volatility but eventually prices may go back to a minor high.
• Mid term elections usually +ve
• One of the uncertainties will be known…elections over.
• no blue wave
• I entered 50% confidence level higher because I think it will go BOTH higher AND lower. I think it will be all over the map until the end of the year.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Trend reversal dead ahead
• Not enough buyers
• short signals from trend lines and indicators on the daily, weekly and monthly chart.
• Market trend down and short term trend top of pull back trend.
• Dems win house majority; Dow down 900 points
• Th downside correction continues as moving averages are penetrated.
• The S&P may have hit resistance on Friday morning, as then it fell most of the day. The strong jobs reports makes it more likely that the Fed will raise rates in Dec, which is should be a negative for the S&P.
• its between point 4 & point 5 on an Elliot wave; higher close + diminishing volume = no appetite for higher prices.


Partner Offer:

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You’ll see how on this online training.


Question #4. What type(s) of trading do to focus on and why? Have you tried other forms of trading that did not work as well for you?

• Options. Buy & hold didn’t work so well.
• option spreads.
• reverse toward a trend from a pull back and break out reversal of a pull back. sell options in high volatility and buy options in low volatility.
• long term investing, options
• Only focus on Basic Equities, day and swing trading. Sell options.
• Trend following. It flows with my lifestyle.
• day/news and B&H Investing my main successes Swing trading still a hit and miss :(
• Stock trading, usually for 2-5 day periods.
• counterintuitive
• Far out-of-money option selling might work well here with the increased volatility. Just need to make sure the options are FAR out-of-the-money. Like maybe two hundred points or so.
• options – most leverage
• Intraday and swing
• None really
• 1 and 2 worked well 1. Futures only now 2. Formerly options and mutual funds aggressive no loads. 3. Managed futures accounts did not work.
• Options. Short term gains were more predictable
• Very short term. Less than a minute is a good trade
• No
• Day Trading suits my personality. Would like to do some short term swing trading. 1-3 days
• the types of trading that i do are : 1) trend line on weekly and monthly charts. 2) combination of specific indicators – oscillators on daily charts, weekly charts and monthly charts.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• have faith the market will move.
• look for pull back to close trade after 3 same direction days
• This is the most sensitive timing for markets
• Good luck.
• the trading that i do based on a combination of some specific indicators with specific settings, is extremely accurate in daily, weekly and monthly charts.


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #202
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, November 5th, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Sean Kozak of NeuroStreet.com (first time guest!)
– Lee Harris of EmojiTrading.com
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #55
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, November 6th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals.

You’ll see how on this online training.