Crowd Forecast News Week #399

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LIVE: Join us Monday for the Crowd Forecast News show, episode #299! (click here)


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 63.6%
Lower: 36.4%
Higher/Lower Difference: 27.3%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 65.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 60.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 72.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -11.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 11


LIVE: Join us Monday for the Crowd Forecast News show, episode #299! (click here)


NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Pro bono
• wave 5 to 426
• I am hoping that as the economy continues to get back up to speed this will have a good impact on the mkt

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Retrenchment
• Sentiment
• No news or market changes stronge enough to move it higher or lower.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• de minimis non curat lex


LIVE: Join us Monday for the Crowd Forecast News show, episode #299! (click here)


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