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Crowd Forecast News Week #384

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 41.7%
Lower: 58.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -16.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 64.6%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 58.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 69.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -11.3%

Responses Submitted This Week: 12

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• none

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Price on day chart is under 50 SMA.
• The fallout from last week continues. Hopefully the indexes will fall to allow sensible investors to get back in !
• a fibonacci pullback number
• fibonacci pullback to 3620 before resuming upwrards
• Technical Analysis

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Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #147

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Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Carley Garner of DeCarleyTrading.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols related to today’s discussion: $GME, $IWM, $USO, $SPY, $GLD, $SLV, $UUP, and more!

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #288

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Recorded: 01/25/2021 at 1PM ET
Duration (video): 61 minutes
Duration (podcast): 51 minutes

Highlights:

• Higher or Lower? Where Michael and Erik think the S&P500 is going.
• Gold, Silver, Soybeans; what to watch for long and short-term.
• Other symbols discussed: $M, $BB, $GME, $TLT

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Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Erik Gebhard of Altavest.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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Crowd Forecast News Week #383

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 70.0%
Lower: 30.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 40.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 67.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.1%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 66.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 0.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 10

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Earnings
• Good earnings will be reported this week. COVID-19 cases are down in many states.
• The US markets ended the week split with the SPY mid-stream heading towards its trading range lower boundary, the QQQ posting a Doji at the top of its range, and the DIA posting back-to-back Dojis at the bottom of its trading range. Given the narrow trading ranges for these three exchanges since November’s pullback, I expect the SPY to bounce off its lower trading boundary of $379’ish by mid-week and rebound towards an upper target of $390’ish. I also expect the DIA to stall around its lower level until the SPY bounces to the upside, as well as the QQQ may not reach its lower boundary, but instead join the others higher. As always, it’s good to have a view, but trade’em as you see’em, not how you (or me) think’em, and that includes with a proven trading-investing plan!

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Needs to consolidate.
• On shaky ground. Gut feeling

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Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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Crowd Forecast News Week #382

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 45.5%
Lower: 54.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -9.1%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 73.6%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 76.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -6.7%

Responses Submitted This Week: 11

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• globex
• Since late November, the markets have been pushing higher than the levels before February’s Covid Crash! However, signs of exhaustion in these over-valued markets are now appearing with last week’s decline, as I predicted, plus declines in broader measures of Advance/Declines, Accumulation/Distribution, and % Stocks Above 40-day Averages crossing below % Stocks Above 200-day Averages….even the Dark Pool activity is decreasing! A bigger market pullback/correction is looming and looking for a catalyst, and maybe this week’s US President Inauguration might oblige!?! Assuming no disruptions, the SPY, DIA, and QQQ are all nearing their respective lower bands in narrow trading ranges, and ready for a bounce higher this coming week. The SPY’s lower bounce point is $374.50’ish with topping target around $382’ish. Similarly, the DIA’s bounce higher target is $313’ish, and the QQQ is $318’ish.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• The divergence of the CCI indicator is obvious. The price should fall to the level of the high trend line (about 3600).
• Technical analysis
• Lower volume through Wednesday, then further drop Friday on heavier volume. (based on social/political news).
• 4 day week nothing big happening

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Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #146

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Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols today: $AAPL, $AMZN, $AMD, $MSFT, $DIS, $SNAP, $MU, $MRNA, $DKNG, $ZM, and more!

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #287

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Summary:

• Higher or Lower? Where Anka thinks the markets are going this week.
• How options expiration influences the markets.
• Thoughts on $NVDA, $CMG, $M, $UNP, $NEM, and a lot more!

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Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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0

Crowd Forecast News Week #381

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 53.3%
Lower: 46.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 6.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 72.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 71.3%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 73.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.3%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• momentum
• Technical analysis
• More stimulus will come. Good earnings.
• Trend is still up on big stocks. Quiet weekend for bad news. Buy two days until Trump decision
• Anti-covid-19 vaccination is starting worldwide
• Like Last week follow-through sp500
• Trend

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• SPY rebounded off lower trading band and now well above upper band, so looking for a move lower during the week and possible rebound off 371.50’ish.
• Pullback/chop prior to Biden transition
• Due to Trumps behavior
• Tesla stock price will drop about 70 points < + and – > 10 . Way overvalued. < jet pump effect >
• Thanks to the purchase euphoria, the price broke the significantly high trend line. I am therefore waiting for an early correction to 3620.

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Question #4. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Earnings this week tell story FRIDAY CCL could push entertainment downward
• SPY PUT option 19Jan2021

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0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #145

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Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– ProTrader Mike of MojoDayTrading.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols discussed today: $DOCU, $AMD, $AAPL, $GBTC, $TSLA, $CARR, and more!

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #286

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Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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