Week 127 Report – Crowd Forecast Indicator: NONE (50/50)
The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, click on the link below to view the full report including the update on sentiment numbers and everyone’s comments about who has been influential to their trading.
TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: NONE (50/50)
This indicator prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 2+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.
Details: Last week’s majority sentiment was Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was NONE (54/46); the S&P500 ended up 2.48% for the week. This week’s majority sentiment is Higher (with a less than than 10% difference) and with a slightly higher average confidence on the bearish side. Similar conditions have been observed 42 times since the start of this project with the majority sentiment being correct only 50% of the time with an average S&P500 move for the week of -0.39% during those weeks. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is making no prediction for the coming week.
Click here to download TRReport022816.pdf
You can download all past reports here.
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Each week several top trading experts discuss the above report report and give their thoughts about current market conditions. Fill out the survey each week, then watch the show to compare your opinions with the experts!
Date and Time:
– Monday, February 28, 2016
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)
Guests:
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Dean Jenkins of FollowMeTrades.com
– James Ramelli of AlphaShark.com
– Kurt Capra of Pristine.com
Moderator:
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com
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