0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #116

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jeffrey Gibby of MetaStock.com (first time guest!)
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols discussed today: AAPL, AMZN, TSLA, SPCE, FEYE, MSFT, WBA, ROKU, FULC, NBL, MU, GILD, DIS

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0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #115

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols discussed today: TSLA, AAPL, NFLX, AMD, BA, MSFT, ROKU, DIS, FB, AMZN

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0

Crowd Forecast News Episode #254

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Melissa Armo of TheStockSwoosh.com (first time guest!)
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Mercedes Van Essen of MentalStrategiesForTraders.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #335

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport022320.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (February 24th to 28th)?

Higher: 35.7%
Lower: 64.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -28.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.9%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.5%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 69.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.2%

Responses Submitted This Week: 30
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 32.6

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 59% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 52.0% predicting Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 58% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 0.93% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 64.3% predicting Lower with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 68 times in the previous 334 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct only 41% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.37% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 59% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.0%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Than you very much for this question yes it work like that due t to the way the market move
• FOMC
• qe
• LT Trend

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• I think the initial reaction to the corona virus was over quickly. Now we will enter a period of time where the market will be reacting to the economic effects of virus on the economy of several countries, especially the Chinese economy. While I try to remain optimistic, I have reserved some cash for bargain hunting, hedged some positions we wish to keep and allow more “room” in our put writing for a possible correction
• Many overbought stacks, some correction needed.
• markets are still wary of the impact of the corona virus
• vires
• People are concerned – that few in China will be allowed to go to their jobs in factories, producing their plastic pieces, etc. /// Maybe the world can apply some pressure to install scrubbers on factory smoke stacks, and implement humane work conditions for the masses. Pipe dreams allowed. /// Can the playing field ever be leveled?
• FED just won’t cut the virus is getting worse but there is nothing positive to boost the market when even low interest rates no longer prevent money from flowing out of the market / lower FED won’t lower and 30 year low on interest rates is no longer preventing an outflow of money from the markets
• China Flue totally out of control in China! Percentages getting higher, ratios moving up, not good!
• uncertainty
• Continue Friday’s reverse.
• corona sickness in more countries
• technicals + post Op-expiration
• Consolidation !
• The market is losing momentum. Virus headlines continue. More earnings reports to weigh on the market.
• With the coronavirus situation looking more like a pandemic, with numerous negative consequences, I can’t think of a reason to buy the market at this level. The S&P drop in July-Aug 2019 was 7%. The current drop has justification to be at least as much.
• Corona Virus finallt taking its toll

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Question #4. What indicator influences your trading the most?

• I resist being an “indicator addict” but I do follow the common things we all know that industry people use such a 200 day M/A and shorter term M/A crossovers.
• bull/bear markets
• vwap
• interest rates dow
• MAs
• it is Forex trading
• earnings
• interest rates
• Support/resistance levels, MACD.
• In order: Price Action, Candlestick, Volume, EMA.
• Volume.
• Price action.
• Japaneese Candlesticks in the United States
• China’s manipulated market imploding in on itself. World events move too fast now, the GOV can’t control things much longer. No one will be at the Olympics – not even the athletes. The world’s spotlight is shining brightly on a flawed model, and the will of the people & progress can’t be held behind a curtain much longer. Alright, political rant is over >> have a great week guys.
• sma.

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Thank you very much for this Thank you john peterson
• China Flue major spread in Italy. Raises concerns, eventually effect all of Europe. North American borders must tighten to NO travel beyond oceans!
• China is a few years away from big change.

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Join us for this week’s shows:

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #254: This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time: Monday, February 24th, 2020, 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Lineup for this Episode:
– Melissa Armo of TheStockSwoosh.com (first time guest!)
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Mercedes Van Essen of MentalStrategiesForTraders.com
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #115 (special episode): When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 15 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time: Tuesday, February 24th, 2020, 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com

Click here to find out more!

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #116: When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 15 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time: Tuesday, February 25th, 2020, 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jeffrey Gibby of MetaStock.com (first time guest!)
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!

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Synergy Traders Event #11 — “Women Teach Trading and Investing: Opportunities for Everyone in Today’s Markets”: Join us for this huge week-long event. This is your chance to be the first to get the secrets, tips, tricks, and tactics from top trading educators.

Date and Time: Monday-Friday, March 2nd-6th, 2020, 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests: Full schedule to be announced: Over 20 women financial professions and educators have confirmed to participate.

Click here to find out more!

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---

0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #114

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols discussed today: AAPL, BA, NFLX, AMAT, BYND, AMZN, SPCE, GLD, SLV

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---

0

Crowd Forecast News Report #334

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport021720.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Tuesday’s open to Friday’s close (February 18th to 21st)?

Higher: 48.0%
Lower: 52.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -4.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 67.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.4%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 64.2%
Higher/Lower Difference: 6.2%

Responses Submitted This Week: 25
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 32.7

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 60% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 59.1% predicting Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 58% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.86% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 52.0% predicting Lower with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 42 times in the previous 333 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct only 40% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.02% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 60% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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---

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

---

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Continued “not QE 4” repo injection by the Fed, lowered VIX and buy the dip remain in force. AAII bullish numbers still low.
• LT trend
• FOMC
• S P TOP IS 338 12 THE NXT TOP IS 340.525
• I think they can go as far as to 90%to 95%
• China markets are up and U.S. markets ignore coronavirus spreading.
• The trend up continues

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Short week and extremely stretched having in mind the current scenario.
• The run up has been too fast. There needs to be a slow down to give pause before the blow-off can continue.
• Stochastics peaking. A quiet week then down.
• Market is losing momentum. More earnings reports to weigh on the market.
• Fed must loosen
• seesaw stage in the market has begun FED must lower but might not
• China Flue, wider spread and effecting Asian businesses stronger than expected. Limited North American citizen exposure and better health care systems than abroad.
• Markets moved up to fast.
• Mexican beer ;o)
• because the fed and the pboc are going to prop the market up. totally lost reality.
• consolidation
• The coronavirus is gaining steam, which can reverse the market’s upward movement; starting any day now.

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Question #4. What trading-related questions or topics would you like the experts to discuss on future episodes of the weekly Crowd Forecast News show and/or which experts would you like to see on the show who haven’t been guests yet? (The show is off this coming week the market holiday, but back on February 24th.)

• no opinion
• bank statements
• Where are commodities headed, chart wise. Oil, is there a future?
• none
• When will supply chain disruptions affect equity markets?
• None
• How to trade futures? When is the best time of the day to trade futures? How to trade futures overnight?
• NONE
• Yes if course we would like to know how fast and incredible future for S&P500 as we maybe surprise of.

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Re: China flue. Tighten North American borders while giving medical expertise to Asian countries. Fast track medical research and cure.
• I hope the best for the company as i hope forward will be ever

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Join us for this week’s shows:

---

Analyze Your Trade Episode #114: When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time: Tuesday, February 18th, 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!

---

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---

0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #113

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Harry Boxer of TheTechTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols discussed today: FB, TWTR, TSLA, GLD, LVS, TNDM, GILD, FCX, T, CSCO, AUPH, DUK, QQQ, UBER, PG

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0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #112

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com

Symbols discussed today: CGC, AAPL, AMD, ROKU, MSFT, BA, BMY, PFE, CRWD, LULU, AMZN, XOM, VIAC, IBM, LITE

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0

Crowd Forecast News Episode #253

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

---

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Bonus: Download Norman’s ebook, “Mental Fitness for Traders” click here.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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---

0

Crowd Forecast News Report #333

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport020920.pdf

---

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (February 10th to 14th)?

Higher: 40.9%
Lower: 59.1%
Higher/Lower Difference: -18.2%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.1%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.2%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 68.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 24
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 32.9

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 58% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 73.1% predicting Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 65% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 2.84% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 59.1% predicting Lower with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 67 times in the previous 332 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct only 42% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.35% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 58% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

---

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---

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.0%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

---

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• LT trend
• President Trump the greatest president since JFK now can focus more on the Nation. He has the greatest team and family support I’ve ever seen in all my years in business. The people of the nation has SEEN THROUGH the lies and deception by the other party. This man’s energy and vision drives the economy and stock markets to new heights and everyone wants onboard… The China v. flue is a issue effecting markets to a degree and of course short sellers as well.
• Trend still up
• historical

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Overpriced
• Corona Virus
• N0t enough money flowing in to keep market propped up
• Money flowing out of market
• 3 bar reversal on daily chart.
• just a retrace rally now back to spx 3226
• Coruna Virus and its toll on Chinese manufacturing output for at least the 1st half of 2020
• Investors can be expected to take profits in light of the market being overbought combined with the chance that the coronavirus is more serious than most people think it is. Chinese factories, shipping, and tourism abroad are being affected.
• The market is overbought and international concerns will hurt and the Democratic primary in NH
• Caronavirus effect and fear. Next few days slightly bearish anyway.
• Market momentum has turned down. Additional Earnings reports will pressure the market.
• Although the Fed is continuing with QE 4, there are indications from other economies that they are seeing the effects of the shutdowns in China which is affecting the supply chain. There is fear beginning to creep into the markets.
• Cororavirus

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Question #4. What methods or techniques do you use to overcome the emotional aspects of trading?

• Redistribute some wealth to masses from the top 8% to stimulate demand and relieve national debt.
• rules
• None sell is the only way to get out of pain
• Sell
• Key numbers, price action, reduce computer time.
• “Scotch on the Rocks”!!
• meditation
• Try to stay rational
• Be calm enough to learn not to jump at sudden moves in stocks, as they may be reversed unexpectedly.
• Stop, take a breath and only act if a greater benefit is seen.
• I have mental stops for my positions and hedges with options.
• study
• Stopse

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Make the public know that wealth distribution will increase demand and improve the economy.
• All from a Canadian Perspective.
• Overall bullish but some pause or correction healthy.

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Join us for this week’s shows:

---

Crowd Forecast News Episode #253: This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time: Monday, February 9th, 2020, 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Lineup for this Episode:
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!

---

Analyze Your Trade Episode #112: When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time: Tuesday, February 11th, 2020, 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Lineup for this Episode:
– Harry Boxer of TheTechTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!

---

Synergy Traders Event #11 — Women Teach Trading and Investing: Opportunities to Profit in Today’s Markets: When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time: Tuesday, February 11th, 2020, 4PM ET (1PM PT)

Lineup for this Episode:
– Full schedule to be announced: Over 20 women financial professions and educators have confirmed to participate and we’re expecting the final lineup to be 25-40.

Click here to find out more!

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