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Analyze Your Trade Episode #123

[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols discussed today: ZM, MSFT, FB, AAPL, CRM, LULU, TLT, BLK, TSLA, SQ, ROKU, WM, NFLX, BA, CLX

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #260

[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Crowd Forecast News Report #342

[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport041220.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (April 13th to 17th)?

Higher: 48.1%
Lower: 51.9%
Higher/Lower Difference: -3.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 70.9%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 75.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -9.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 28
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 31.7

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 67% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 64.5% predicting Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 57% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 8.20% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 51.9% predicting Lower with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 21 times in the previous 341 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct 33% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.33% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 67% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.4%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 64.7%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• I’m assuming Pelosi and Shumer stay off the bottle and for once work with congress regarding the PPP.
• liquidity infusion by the FED
• The Market has had enough of the Hong Kong Flue, it is time to move on.
• Good news on CV
• Momentum is climbing
• The major bank stocks rallied on Thursday because of the Fed, but also in front of earnings. I am going with this momentum, looking for the financial sector to keep the S&P from falling, and for the S&P to move up to the next Fibonnaci level.
• they are pumping another $2.3 trillion into the market
• Pre holiday trade pattern until wednesday then sideways or down
• Don’t Fight the FED

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• price pattern
• poor earnings
• CORONA
• This a dcb which is now becoming frothy.
• catch those last sellers trying to get even
• Reaching time and price area for reversal.
• Nothing but bad news. Until the virus is resolved, the market will head down. High Unemployment, no business growth at all. Earnings will be disappointing.
• technical analysis

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Question #4. Have you changed your trading or investing strategies over the last couple months to cope with the increased volatility? If so, how?

• reducing exposure, trading more options than stock, tightening stop losses
• No, I day trade the spi options.
• no still in cash
• yes rebalanced portfolio
• Listen more, talk less and support the DOW!
• More LEAPS
• 10% buys
• Reduced the size of orders to 20-50% and doubled, tripled the size of my stops.
• Yes I have been buying stocks
• yes, small trade take profit before they disapear
• Yes, mostly trading the micro e-mini’s.
• yes have sold almost everything
• Prepared for decline Feb 24 by buying puts early March
• No , 30% invested since Jan.2020
• yes. MYOB

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• I hope the Dems go to HELL.
• the virus will continue take earnings down. this could last up to a year.
• It is time for the people of North America to mask up and back to work, enough is enough! President Donald Trump will lead this great American endeavor and all Americans will follow. Canada will follow the southern neighbor recovery and the HK flue will dissipate, through Europe.
• Stupid mistakes earlier this year. This decline helped me achieve almost 300% appreciation. Bear rally caught me off guard because I did not believe my own charts and lost 20% of my gains.

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #122

[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols discussed today: MSFT, TDOC, AAPL, MGM, DPZ, BA, COUP, SPY, AMD, DXCM, PYPL, SMH, BNS, DIA, KBH

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #259

[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jim, The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Crowd Forecast News Report #341

[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport040520.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (April 6th to 10th)?

Higher: 35.5%
Lower: 64.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -29.0%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 66.6%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 64.6%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 67.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: -3.2%

Responses Submitted This Week: 31
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 31.8

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 57% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 81.1% predicting Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 71% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 2.75% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 64.5% predicting Lower with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 28 times in the previous 340 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct 43% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.10% Lower for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 57% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.6%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 64.7%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Moved up after touching support
• When I say lower, it goes higher so I think it will go higher.
• the corona rate is begining to flaten out
• The OPEC oil issue will probably be worked out, which the market will like this week. Unemployment, debt, bankruptcies are big issues, but may hold off for another time to do their damage.
• because it dropped by more than 20% this week, there for a its due for a correction upwards but then it will drop a lot more mid week onwards
• The chines will have no choice but let it go to fix

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• in a depression
• Fib retracement
• we are losing the battle with the virus
• The economy shut down.
• because there is a possible Head and shoulder pattern in the weekly chart
• People are trading in fear. This is a good time to find buys with many stocks bottomed out.
• Well, maybe the China Flue numbers growth in USA..
• accelerating corona cases
• Continued coronavirus bad news
• Curves are gradually flattening.
• too many companies shut down, too many people are out of work
• Most of the financial information shows greater negativity each week of this “stay in place” order.
• Can’t see direction but bias toward down.
• It is too early to say the market S&P 500 has hit a bottom. Who knows what Trump will say next?
• Trend is still down

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Question #4. What procedures do you use to monitor and evaluate your trading results and progress over time?

• bottom line number
• i use advanced trading software
• look at charts, and indexes
• I enter the “history” of each stock periodically to see how I’m doing. On a daily basis I compare my accounts with the results of the major markets–was I higher or lower then they are?
• Gains and losses
• I write down my trades in an excel spreadsheet
• Normal market TSE
• Spreadsheet
• I use excell spreadsheet..
• several
• Analyzing Moving Averages and On Balance Volume
• I am a Stockcharts subscriber and have investments with TD Webbroker . I watch the market a;; day.
• p&L

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• what is your predictions?
• the 900 point drop after the stimulis was a pie in the face
• Don’t scare so many of popple
• Thankful for this platform. I value everyone’s opinion. God Bless Canada and USA!!

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Synergy Traders #12, Day 2 – Tech Wizards 2020 Conference

[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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This event was created by TradeOutLoud.com and TimingResearch.com and these presentations were recorded on Friday, April 3rd, 2020. These are the Day 2 presentations, watch Day 1 here.

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Presenter 12.11: Matt Ratliff of InvestiQuant.com
Title: Trade with Statistical Edges from Open to Close
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.12: Jody Samuels of FXTradersEdge.com
Title: Elliott Wave Desk Full Market Scanner
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.13: Rob Fleischmann of AIPEX.tech
Title: AIPEX Automated Trading
Offer: HERE (code: timingresearch2020-5%off)
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.14: David Keller of StockCharts.com
Title: How to Beat the Bear Using Relative Strength
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Panelists 12.15: Anka Metcalf, Doc Seaverson, Wally Olopade, Rob Fleischmann, and David Keller
Title: Tech Wizards Panel Discussion
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.16: Sean Kozak of NSTradingAcademy.com
Title: Learn To Day Trade Futures In 4 Easy Steps
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.17: Megan Brantley of LikeFolio.com
Title: Using Social Data to Spot Opportunities
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.18: Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
Title: Trading High Velocity Moves with an Algo Approach
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.19: Randy Lindsey of MT4Professional.com
Title: Live Market Scanner for MT4 – MT4Professional Scanner
Offer: HERE (code: easter2020)
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Synergy Traders #12, Day 1 – Tech Wizards 2020 Conference

[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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This event was created by TradeOutLoud.com and TimingResearch.com and these presentations were recorded on Thursday, April 2nd, 2020. These are the Day 1 presentations, watch Day 2 here.

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Presenter 12.01: The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com
Title: Option Professor Market Update
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.02: Jake Wujastyk of TrendSpider.com
Title: TrendSpider Market Analysis
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.03: Jeffrey Gibby of MetaStock.com
Title: Finding The Right Strategy For You
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.04: Marc Chaikin of ChaikinAnalytics.com
Title: Technology To Master The Bear
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.05: Doc Severson of ReadySet.trade
Title: 7 Steps to Better Trading Results
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Presenter 12.06: Wally Olopade of RightSideTrading.com
Title: Navigating Volatile Markets
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.07: Erik Gebhard of Altavest.com
Title: Algos Can Select Options Trades And Automatically Manage Them For You
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.08: Robert Spears of OptimizeYourTrading.com
Title: Developing Dynamic Systems
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.09: Tom Sosnoff of tastytrade & tastyworks
Title: Join Trading Legend And Serial Entrepreneur Tom Sosnoff For A 1-Hour Demo Of The Tastyworks Platform
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Presenter 12.10: Eric Hall of VantagePointSoftware.com
Title: 3 Keys to Forecasting Markets in Chaos
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #121

[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

Symbols Covered This Episode: BA, AAPL, AMD, SDS, CVX, ROKU, ZM, TSLA, MA, GILD, WMT, SHOP, TDOC, TLT, T

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #258

[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
– Norman Hallett of TheDisciplinedTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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[AD] Report: The Market Is Repricing: Seven Trades To Watch Now

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