0

Crowd Forecast News Week #377

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 85.7%
Lower: 14.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 71.4%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 70.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 95.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -29.2%

Responses Submitted This Week: 7

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• vaccine, mainly
• I don’t believe that a “correction” is imminent this week but sometime soon* CV 19 vaccine distribution and greed by institutions will drive it even higher for now* Stimulus talks if positive will drive it up also*
• SPY moved up Friday afternoon through the close. 9 SMA crossed above 20 SMA and 50 SMA on 15 minute chart. SPY peaked Wednesday morning at the open and moved downward until Friday afternoon. MACD, RSI, MFI, and OBV are positive for upward move.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• It is reaching a threshold of holding on, to lower. My indicators are showing lower after a short pullback on the Hour charts.

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• My opinion: On December 14, 2020, the President of the USA will not vote and the S & P500 will not change radically.
• Because of multiple factors in the world, We will continue to be on the Roller Coaster that We have been on in 2020* Greed by institutions have TOTALLY driven the markets the way that they have been going, up and down, but more up than down recently* Hang on for the continuation of a Wild ride that has been taking place* :-)
• There is a 20% chance of crappy news on Monday, I can’t control that with present means.

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0

Crowd Forecast News Week #376

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport120620.pdf

---

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 64.7%
Lower: 35.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 29.4%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.8%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 68.2%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 70.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 18

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 64% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Just closed at record highs, trend continues
• QE
• Lot of positive news regarding COVID-19 vaccine & so markets will go up.
• wave 5 continues
• Momentum
• Market anticipating a new leg up
• Trend
• Daily HH,HL Weekly HH,HL triangle break up
• cycle turn end of december

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• SPY has been trading in a tight 1-month regression channel of about $7 and is nearing its top of $368.50 from the Nov.30 pivot low, so with Friday close at $369.85 a pullback is imminent. Interventions by the US Fed and recent speculation of another US stimulus package have kept the markets buoyed beyond pandemic reality levels.
• like tesla all are over valued
• Technical analysis
• Market is over bought

Other Respondent Answers:

• I really do not care, I trade the SPX/USD derivative and make money whether it goes up or down every day.

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Question #4. What do you hope you learn more about related to trading or investing to prepare for 2021?

• Democrat spending pland
• Mechanical automated systems
• Futures, options and micro options
• Options
• Low volatile stock picks
• Time Price & momentum
• Trade’em as you see’em with your best trading plan and indicators, as prognostications are too unreliable!
• wait until market settles down

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• With high probability Forex market will be volatile next week.
• What childish undemocratic antics is the daffy Donald doing/considering that could disrupt the markets?

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #370

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---

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 64.3%
Lower: 35.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 28.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 59.4%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 61.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.6%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 64% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Momentum
• too much un known
• The economic comeback
• Trend up continues
• The trend is intact

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• minor pullback then resume up until election 100 points lower
• No stimulus deal, election getting closer
• Last week’s high was on Monday; and it was approached on Friday; but then turned down toward the close. Expecting continuation of this latest down move.
• technical analysis

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Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• Economy
• Futures
• Not sure

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Which direction the economy going?

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #369

[AD] eBook: Amplify Your Options Trading with Smart Leverage

---

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 64.3%
Lower: 35.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 28.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 59.4%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 61.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -1.6%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 64% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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---

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.5%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

---

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Momentum
• too much un known
• The economic comeback
• Trend up continues
• The trend is intact

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• minor pullback then resume up until election 100 points lower
• No stimulus deal, election getting closer
• Last week’s high was on Monday; and it was approached on Friday; but then turned down toward the close. Expecting continuation of this latest down move.
• technical analysis

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Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• Economy
• Futures
• Not sure

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Which direction the economy going?

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #368

[AD] eBook: Amplify Your Options Trading with Smart Leverage

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 73.3%
Lower: 26.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: 46.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 65.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 69.6%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 53.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: 15.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 16

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 63% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

---

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---

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

---

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• correction over
• S&P moved above 3400, and looks like it wants to stay above. With hope that Congress will pass a stimulus package sometime, looking for S&P to continue up.
• Market does not want to go down, bounced from support.
• The technicals are pointing higher I think the market sees a trump win
• Seasonality COT Eminies with commercials are starting to sell off traditionally due to rising prices short to mid term

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• trump ..his health
• Uncertainty just before the election produces a selection of profits
• It seems to be moving up slowernow!
• Highly overbought with last week’s rally. No progress on stimulus

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Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• connection/relation between different currencies
• none
• Everything
• Psychology of trading

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

0

Crowd Forecast News Report #367

[AD] eBook: Amplify Your Options Trading with Smart Leverage

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport100420.pdf

---

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 46.7%
Lower: 53.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -6.7%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 69.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.7%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 72.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -6.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 17
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 24.6

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 63% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

---

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---

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.0%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

---

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Without a vaccine and before the election this market has nothing on which to base a major move in either direction
• up into election
• my work says the SPX is going higher on Monday
• It’s a toss up. Depends a lot on the health of Trump

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• With the POTUS in the hospital, uncertainty has heightened on top of the election outcome. I’m scared too!
• Price on the S&P500 daily chart closed below the 50 SMA. Price at Resistance on weekly chart. Volatility high. Market indecisive. (4 weekly dojis). Market jittery due to Geopolitical conditions. President Trump in the hospital due to testing positive for the Corona Virus. Market does not like uncertainty.
• Momentum is slipping downward and interest in buying is waning, influenced by the large effect of covid on our economy.
• The trend has changed to down and it looks like the bounce is over. Trump and covid can only bring uncertainty.

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Question #4. What topics related to trading or investing do you most want to learn more about?

• futures trading
• I can make money every single trade I take.
• OPTION credit and debit Spreads rules
• Always trying to learn more

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #366

[AD] eBook: Amplify Your Options Trading with Smart Leverage

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport092020.pdf

---

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 57.1%
Lower: 42.9%
Higher/Lower Difference: 42.9%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 66.1%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 66.9%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 65.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: 1.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 14
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 24.8

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 63% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

---

[AD] eBook: Amplify Your Options Trading with Smart Leverage

---

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

---

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• End of quarter, folio managers have to fill their books.
• Dead cat bounce coming
• corona medicin is on its way.
• We recently had a pullback that may have ended late last week. I voted higher w/a low confidence level because I believe we are at a point where you must see a move take off before you can trade it. No room for guesswork these days.
• New month new quarter
• The market moved up on Friday, after bouncing off the lower Bollinger band. There’s room for more upside; and decent payroll numbers this coming Friday could help the market more.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Big mutual funds are closing their books for the year
• 2nd wave of Covid concerns election nervousness unemployment numbers and lack of gov’t progress on stimulus
• It went up after 1400 on Friday and started the day with a drop, history possible will repeat itself.. i.e drop on Monday
• Politics
• market overvalued

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Question #4. What procedures do you use for trade management?

• Set stops on the core stocks I trade over & over
• stops
• chart reviews, overbought/oversold stocks/indexes, spreadsheet earnings calculations
• 1. macro statistics 2. big picture technicals. 3. Find stop loss close to entry. 4. trailing stoploss to volatility. 5 volume
• read and analyse charts, listen to professionals.
• Puts
• I have a set of rules in place that are truly burned into my brain matter. I place two types of option selling trades on a regular basis and my rules are so ingrained that it now mechanical for me. When to place the trade, when to adjust etc, almost on autopilot.

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #365

[AD] eBook: Amplify Your Options Trading with Smart Leverage

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport092120.pdf

---

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 31.3%
Lower: 68.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: -37.5%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 72.8%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 68.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 75.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -7.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 16
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 25.1

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 55% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

---

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---

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.1%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 72.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

---

---

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• New Supreme Court Justice will be added
• Wash out of bears
• why. i’ll let you figure it out.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• technical chart
• Seasonal pressure. Funds taking profits. Possible margin calls from retail.
• The S&P looks like it peaked a few days ago, and is now pointing down and toward its next support at 3200 or lower.
• Correction continues
• Post Sept expiration seasonal negative
• The fear of cov-19 & uncertainty in our economy & our divisive politics is forcing our markets to become more bearish.
• a lot of bad news over the weekend
• COVID still rages and the election chaos still goes on and even more so with the Supreme court nomination fighting.
• market overvalued

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Question #4. Which market or asset type have you made the most money from trading so far this year?

• US stocks
• Stocks by a large amount
• Equities.
• Companies dealing with heavy metals
• apple & technology sector
• precious metals
• Tech
• lost not made. i follow people

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• If we have a democratic win, the markets will slowly recover with less fear & become more progressive toward economic technology, climate change, education, health care & equality that helps all people.

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #364

[AD] eBook: Amplify Your Options Trading with Smart Leverage

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport091420.pdf

---

Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 35.7%
Lower: 64.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: -28.6%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 72.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: -12.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 15

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 56% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

---

[AD] eBook: Amplify Your Options Trading with Smart Leverage

---

Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• The S&P is just above it’s lower Bollinger band; and has been staying above this lower band for months. So, a rise is more likely.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• This market is losing money because the election is soon to arrive after that there will be nothing to hold this market up
• still correcting
• By day chart price going to 200 SMA.
• The uptrend has been broken
• R on Daily
• Increase in Corporate debit & Vaccine delay

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Question #4. What is the best advice you’ve seen on the topic of Trading Psychology?

• set stops
• Have a plan
• Reduce trading time to a minimum and to stay as fresh as possible.
• Keep your emotions in check while trading, as they tend to lead one to make unfortunate moves.
• Only trade with an edge
• Trader should be ready to manage RISK only not an outcome.
• Don’t stress

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #363

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport090820.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close?

Higher: 72.7%
Lower: 27.3%
Higher/Lower Difference: 45.5%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 68.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.5%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 70.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.5%

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 68% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.1%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Because I believe it should be lower.
• trend is still up and a bullish daily candle printed Friday.
• There was a broadly based reversal to the upside on Friday, suggesting that the uptrend channel is still in place for a while longer.
• 40B monthly into treasuries by FED Run up to Sept expiration. Afterwards is troublesome for equities
• earnings reports non farm and factory orders confirming

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Overvalued needs correction to create more upside

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Question #4. What are your top questions about Investing & Long-Term Trading?

• swing trade techniques
• greeks

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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