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Synergy Traders #15, Summer School: Swing Trading Strategies

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This event was created by TradeOutLoud.com and TimingResearch.com and these presentations were recorded on Monday, June 29th, 2020 and all of these cover “swing trading” strategies

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Synergy Traders #15.01: Trading The Death Star with E. Matthew “Whiz” Buckley of TopGunOptions.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #15.02: Human Behavior Is The Key Determinant Of Markets with Gary Dean of SentimentTiming.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #15.03: Sorry! This one is no longer available.

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Synergy Traders #15.04: Modern Day Candlesticks with Wally Olopade of RightSideTrading.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #15.05: Swing Trading: Naked Or Fully-Dressed with Yaniv Elbaz of The5ers.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #15.06: Cheap Stocks – Big Bucks, A Truly Amazing Webinar with Jake Bernstein of Trade-Futures.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #15.07: K.I.S.S. Swing Strategy with Jane Gallina of SeeJaneTrade.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #15.08: Option Professor Swing Trading Strategies with The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Synergy Traders #15.09: Swing Into Profits Trading 10 Min Per Day with Anka Metcalf of TradeOutLoud.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Crowd Forecast News Report #353

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport062920.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Thursday’s close (June 29th – July 2nd)?

Higher: 31.8%
Lower: 68.2%
Higher/Lower Difference: -36.4%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 71.4%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 76.4%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 68.9%
Higher/Lower Difference: 7.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 22
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 29.3

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 70% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 56.3% predicting Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 56% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 2.76% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 68.2% predicting Lower but with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 20 times in the previous 352 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 70% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.23% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 70% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.6%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 54.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 27.3%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Fear runs the market now.
• The week before July 4th is almost always bullish. That history should outweigh concerns about COVID spikes.
• pre 4th of July week seasonal bullish strength
• vaccin sooner redy
• lower & higher, this is not a breakdown, upward move by mid of next week is closely observed

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Price will be back to 2640 (FB retrace 62%), what is it like spinning on a megaphone in a weekly chart.
• Virus numbers are increase, bankruptcy of Chesapeake Energy. President Trump’s ratings are down
• more unemployment
• Rising COVID cases in big states. Report on GDP will show lower numbers. Likelihood that Biden will become President spooks the market.
• The S&P had a high in Feb and a lower high in June. Since then, it hasn’t challenged the more recent high, and closed near to the lower Bollinger band. This leans bearish. Also, Covid19 is more in charge than the Fed is.
• S&P running out of momentum
• technicals
• higher VIX

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Question #4. What advice would you give and/or what resources would you recommend to someone who is new to trading?

• Focus more on what is at risk if you are wrong than on what you might make if all goes your way.
• How long did it take you to get to a six figure salary in yr present career? Well its going to take you that long to get to six figure annual profits.
• Trading is tricky, with lots of traps. Practice with paper trading.
• end losing trades quickly and uncompromisingly
• papertrading
• Look for clean software and clean broker and try to avoid fxcm ,don’t take too much risk, and try to consider the contract size AND DONT GET GREEDY, one trade a time. don’t ever place 2 trades or more than one trade a time try to choose the right broker, this is because the broker will place his hand in your pocket and he wouldn’t get out till you close the trade)
• patience, discipline, then strategy
• Learn how to read charts. Do not listen to the MSM.
• stay out until October

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #268

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Melissa Armo of TheStockSwoosh.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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Crowd Forecast News Report #352

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport062220.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (June 22nd-26th)?

Higher: 56.3%
Lower: 43.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: 12.5%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 71.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 75.7%
Higher/Lower Difference: -7.9%

Responses Submitted This Week: 17
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 29.4

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 56% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 61.1% predicting Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 57% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 3.47% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 56.3% predicting Higher but with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 72 times in the previous 351 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 56% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.01% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 56% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 56.9%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 27.3%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• I am not so sure about it.
• Things are picking up in many states
• Because SPY broke 20 day MA. So my contrarian theory is it bounces back above.
• the trend continues

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Will be big drop (third wave by Fibonacci)
• Lower because the number of virus cases are increasing and Apple has shut stores down in some locations.
• We are in a depression
• The Covid-19 virus is alive and happy, as the contagion level is rising sharply in some areas. That’s going to discourage a lot of people from spending at a level that supports economic growth.
• 2nd wave of Covid19 plus the uneasyness of the mkt with regard to upcoming earnings.

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Question #4. What procedures do you use to monitor and evaluate your trading results and progress over time?

• p&l
• P/L
• Measure equity in time
• just watch the market where it headed?
• Extensive spreadsheets and monthly summaries

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Need more information about candle stick? When to time the market movements.

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Synergy Traders #14, Summer School: Advanced Options Strategies

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This event was created by TradeOutLoud.com and TimingResearch.com and these presentations were recorded on Thursday, June 18th, 2020.

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ST #14.01: What to AVOID During a Market Drop in order to Generate a Serious Investment Income with A.J. Brown of TradingTrainer.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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ST #14.02: Top Trade Ideas Right Now with Dan Passarelli of MarketTakerMentoring.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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ST #14.03: Unusual Options Activity with Andrew Keene of AlphaShark.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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ST #14.04: Option Professor Market Update with The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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ST #14.05: Zero Day Options Strategies with Doc Severson of ReadySet.trade
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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ST #14.06: How the Top 1% Trade Options with Felix Frey of OptionsGeek.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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ST #14.07: Financed Call Spreads as a Set-It-And-Forget-It Trend Trade with Samantha LaDuc and Archna Jagtiani of LaDucTrading.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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ST #14.08: How to Win on Over 80% of Your Options Trades with Price Headley of BigTrends.com
Offer: HERE
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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ST #14.09: Options Trading Panel Discussion with Samantha LaDuc, Archna Jagtiani, A.J. Brown, The Option Professor, and Anka Metcalf
Watch the video here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or on your favorite podcast network:

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Analyze Your Trade Episode #130

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Mike Pisani of SmartOptionTrading.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #267

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Gary Dean of SentimentTiming.com
– David Keller of StockCharts.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #351

[AD] PDF: 10 Strategies for Success

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport061520.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (June 15th-19th)?

Higher: 38.9%
Lower: 61.1%
Higher/Lower Difference: -22.2%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 66.1%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 70.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -10.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 18
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 29.6

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 57% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 52.9% predicting Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 60% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 4.96% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 61.1% predicting Lower but with a much greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 77 times in the previous 350 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct 43% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.33% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 57% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 36.4%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• FED wull keep flooding the market with liquidity
• Being contrarian
• Bounce back from Thursday
• LT Trend/bounce
• High liquidity, people isbuying on the dip.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Overbought for weeks. Too far too fast.
• The market is very high based on fundamentals and in lieu of the increasing virus threat
• A pull back is due as the recent rally has run out o steam
• The daily trend will change next week per moving averages.
• An island reversal (up-gap, then 4 days later, a down-gap) occurred over the last several days. That’s generally bearish. Also, the virus wants to hang around, which dims hopes for economic recovery this year.
• I belive in megafone pattern(weekly chart). Price going to pivot (down)
• Technical
• the US facing Two big problems now a days Corona and protests,the first time i have seen low confident level in the president Mr Trump,these could led market to negative side..
• We are in a depression

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Question #4. What trading software/platform(s) do you use to execute your trades?

• Schwab streetssmart
• Fidessa, IB
• online broker has its own I don’t trade frequently
• Schwab
• Etrade
• E-Trade
• Trade station
• Tradestation
• MT4
• ava trade
• Td

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Very volatile markets are likely to continue
• this is my first time entry on your website

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0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #129

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Samantha LaDuc of LaDucTrading.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

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0

Crowd Forecast News Episode #266

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---

Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

---

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Carley Garner of DeCarleyTrading.com
– Amelia Bourdeau of MarketCompassLLC.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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