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Crowd Forecast News Episode #267

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Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Marina Villatoro of TheTraderChick.com
– Gary Dean of SentimentTiming.com
– David Keller of StockCharts.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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Crowd Forecast News Report #351

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport061520.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (June 15th-19th)?

Higher: 38.9%
Lower: 61.1%
Higher/Lower Difference: -22.2%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 66.1%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 60.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 70.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -10.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 18
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 29.6

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 57% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 52.9% predicting Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 60% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 4.96% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 61.1% predicting Lower but with a much greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 77 times in the previous 350 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Lower) being correct 43% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.33% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 57% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 36.4%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• FED wull keep flooding the market with liquidity
• Being contrarian
• Bounce back from Thursday
• LT Trend/bounce
• High liquidity, people isbuying on the dip.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Overbought for weeks. Too far too fast.
• The market is very high based on fundamentals and in lieu of the increasing virus threat
• A pull back is due as the recent rally has run out o steam
• The daily trend will change next week per moving averages.
• An island reversal (up-gap, then 4 days later, a down-gap) occurred over the last several days. That’s generally bearish. Also, the virus wants to hang around, which dims hopes for economic recovery this year.
• I belive in megafone pattern(weekly chart). Price going to pivot (down)
• Technical
• the US facing Two big problems now a days Corona and protests,the first time i have seen low confident level in the president Mr Trump,these could led market to negative side..
• We are in a depression

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Question #4. What trading software/platform(s) do you use to execute your trades?

• Schwab streetssmart
• Fidessa, IB
• online broker has its own I don’t trade frequently
• Schwab
• Etrade
• E-Trade
• Trade station
• Tradestation
• MT4
• ava trade
• Td

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Very volatile markets are likely to continue
• this is my first time entry on your website

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0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #129

[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Samantha LaDuc of LaDucTrading.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

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Crowd Forecast News Episode #266

[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

---

Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

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On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Carley Garner of DeCarleyTrading.com
– Amelia Bourdeau of MarketCompassLLC.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #350

[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport060720.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (June 8th-12th)?

Higher: 52.9%
Lower: 47.1%
Higher/Lower Difference: 5.9%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 67.9%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 68.3%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 67.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 0.8%

Responses Submitted This Week: 18
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 30.1

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 60% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 72.2% predicting Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 54% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 5.11% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 52.9% predicting Higher but with a much greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 52 times in the previous 349 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 60% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.46% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 60% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 53.0%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 36.4%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• momentum
• Technical: candle+trend, nfp release was positive
• Good unemployment report. It looks like a V shaped economic recovery.
• More of the economy opens giving greater confidence that we are on the upswing but could be impacted by the growing domestic unrest.
• Momentum is good, which suggests more follow through. Expecting for this week: rotation into lagging stocks, buying of dips, S&P holds up okay.
• Trend

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Still large number of people unemployed. Not enough jobs too fill the unemployment gap.
• more protests
• The rise has moved too fast. Bound to have some correction.
• Profit taking from last week
• Market has been overbought for a couple weeks. Last friday the rubberband stretched so far that it needs to correct for a little while. Revert to the average or lower before it continues to rocket higher as things continue to open up. Our Covid 19 numbers were the highest they have been last week but without drastic increase in hospitalizations or deaths so far. The virus might be mutating to a less lethal form while still causing herd immunity- hopefully.
• Volume flow

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Question #4. What styles of trading or methodologies have you had the most success with?

• Long term. Buy and hold.
• Buying when marker crashes
• Analyze charts and trade accordingly.
• To many to share
• Swing trading
• Supply and demand
• Buying a stock tied to crypto. Selling puts for premium, and following leads and trending stocks from Tradesmith, Jeff Brown, Jeff Clark and Tika Tawari, Educated using Option Alpha etc.

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #128

[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Tim Racette of EminiMind.com
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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0

Crowd Forecast News Episode #265

[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

---

Watch here or on YouTube (Note, this is an audio-only episode):

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

---

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

Lineup for this Episode:
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com (moderator)

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.

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[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #349

[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport053120.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (June 1st-5th)?

Higher: 72.2%
Lower: 27.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: 44.4%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 70.3%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 67.3%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 78.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -10.7%

Responses Submitted This Week: 19
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 30.5

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 54% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 52.2% predicting Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 57% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.34% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 72.2% predicting Higher (highest percentage in almost a year) but with a much greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 41 times in the previous 348 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 57% of the time but with an average S&P500 move of 0.24% Lower for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 54% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.9%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 36.4%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Price action
• Trend
• Price is above 200 DMA. VIX go down.
• Things getting going in many states
• Well, we’ve came this far on stimulus, what’s the issue? With economy opening up and those provinces, states , countries 1st to do so will benefit most. Of course those countries who kept operating are already farther ahead!!
• increasing positive momentum
• Momentum
• business is re-opening
• next week will be up

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• riots and more business closing
• The S&P hit it’s high last week on 5/28 a the top of a Bollinger band and at a resistance level. A dip from there should be probable. Also, the US-China trade uncertainty could discourage investors form buying equities.
• Unrest spreading, COVID-19 cases up due to not distance during memorial weekend, and market needs a breath.
• Cyclical reason

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Question #4. What indicator influences your trading the most?

• trend
• RSI
• I’m simple Most time don’t have any indicators on charts. Just price Bar charts
• Support/resistance levels and Bollinger bands
• MACD
• macd
• MA, CCI
• Look to left; Price Action; volume action; CCI and Market Sediment
• MACD, weekly, daily, 30 minute chart.

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• none

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[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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0

Analyze Your Trade Episode #127

[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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Watch here or on YouTube:

Listen to the audio-only version here or your favorite podcast network:

On this episode you can listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunes, Podbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– The Option Professor of OptionProfessor.com

Symbols discussed today: MSFT, AAPL, ZM, AMD, BA, GLD, CRM, PAYC, SQ, NVDA, SMH, MMM, FB, ISRG, SPY

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[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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0

Crowd Forecast News Report #348

[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

---

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport052520.pdf

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Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Tuesday’s open to Friday’s close (May 26th to 29th)?

Higher: 52.2%
Lower: 47.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: 4.3%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 72.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 74.6%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 69.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: 5.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 24
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 31.1

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 57% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 6+ year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 61.5% predicting Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 57% chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.43% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 52.2% predicting Higher with a greater average confidence from those who are predicting Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 30 times in the previous 347 weeks, with the majority sentiment (Higher) being correct 57% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.51% Lower for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 57% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.

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[AD] PDF: 9 Hot Tech Stocks: Massive Growth Potential For Summer 2024

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Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 52.8%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 36.4%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact

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NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Why not, American unemployment may reach over 30%, consumer spending super low, Fed printing money, so why wouldn’t the market go higher? Either way, were gonna be alright!!
• FED loosening Don’t fight the FED
• More states opening
• Current trend still up, but depending on certain resistance levels, we could go up, then down – also if “the idiot” ratchets up the fight with China…etc.
• S&P weekly chart points up and MACD Histogram turned positive.
• The S&P reached a new May high this past week; and is holding up well near that level. This suggests that the S&P will probably reach higher, maybe to 3060 before it turns down.
• Everything is starting to open up again

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• I’m expecting some sort of bad COVID news soon
• We are range bound now so been up last week and down now.
• I think is a resistant level is reaching around 3000 s&p it will bound back lower at some point. Will see,,,,,,,,
• Earnings season over, reality kicks in.
• gdp’s announcment.
• FOMC Kaplan is talking of remedies economivally maybe i think i guess some maybe

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Question #4. On May 19-21 TimingResearch and TradeOutLoud hosted 3 days of presentations with each day covering a different topic; STOCKS/OPTIONS on Tuesday, FOREX on Wednesday, FUTURES on Thursday. What other specific financial-related topics would you like to see covered in an all-day series of lectures like this? (btw The CFN show is off this coming week for the market holiday but back on June 1st)

• Talk about mechanical systems that work 90% of the time, is there such a system for stocks?
• FUTURES Options on Futures
• Market inside info. Like, who’s doing most of the pre & post market buying? Why do options have such a hard time going up, versus how EASY they can and do go down? Just this past week, a couple of my Netflix positions that don’t expire until June 19 & May 29th respectively, went down substantially (20%) with only a $1.61 move lower in the stock price. At the time that was a small fraction of 1%, since it was trading at $445 or so Why are earnings numbers all over the place? I’ve seen various “consensus” numbers on the same security, so obviously it’s not always a consensus. Further, after earnings report, I can look at Yahoo finance or TD Ameritrade and find one article saying the company beat earnings or rev, and another saying the opposite. What gives? And WHO decides that, in some cases, no matter how good the numbers (earnings, revenues, and outlook), the stock price is going down, even with a low PE stock, even without a recent run up in price, etc. I would like to know WHO is manipulating the market. I can guess, and I can surely guess why, but I’d like details. Unusual option activity – WHO are the players making some of these huge bets? Hedge funds? Billionaires? The JP Morgan’s of the world? Foreign players? It would be nice to know “what is really going on” in regards to all of these scenarios and more.
• I was looking forward to FUTURES, but disappointed. Jack gave a very good presentation, but won’t be able to use. I would like to see more FUTURES presentation tailored to small investors and teaching how to trade micros, more hands on type.
• profits using stop loss sell orders

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Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Thank you for this platform, this is a great area to exchange ideas and thoughts, so thank you again! Mr. Donald Trump is the Best President since JFK!! Heaven and Earth support Mr. Trump 😇. Thank you Mr. President for the light you bring to the planet!! God Bless America and God Bless Mr. Trump!!

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