Crowd Forecast News Report #269

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport111818.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (November 19th to 23rd)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 58.5%
Lower: 41.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: 17.1%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 62.9%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 65.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 57.8%
Higher/Lower Difference: 8.0%

Responses Submitted This Week: 42
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 45.2

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 64% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 51.4% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 75% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.36% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 58.5% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have occurred 25 times in the previous 268 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 64% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.33% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 64% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.5%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 58.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 63.6%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Gaps in technical charts of Dow, S&P and Nasdaq were filled on last Thursday. On economic fundamentals, US market should resume uptrend. Correction flushed out the froths. Market is very healthy now.
• Watching the chart and intuition
• The market is ripe for a rebound
• Sazonality
• Holidays
• Gut
• seasonal tendencies
• Thanksgiving week is usually an up week. The market held okay on Thurs & Fri, so some short-term upside is plausible.
• Best six months historically
• support
• higher low[week 11/2 compare to May ,April weeks] • holiday seasonality
• pull back in an uptrend after the recent sell off low
• seasonality
• We need some sort of double top before the real bear market hits us.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• the COD are never right .
• I think we have passed a support level which is now resistance
• A trend has started.
• most traders off for the holiday week
• The downside correction will continue until the public says “just let me out”. Retail earnings and expectations should be a drag on the market.
• sellers in control
• Market seems range bound. Interest rate concerns.
• Market upswing runs out
• momentum weak


Partner Offer:

Did you ever think that becoming a professional trader is out of reach? Think again.
Click here to learn how.

top

TopstepTrader has funded more than 1,800 traders just like you with live trading capital. They take all the risk.
You keep the first $5,000 in profits and 80% thereafter.


Question #4. Which trading platform or broker do you like the best for executing your trades?

• thinkorswim
• Fidelity and TOS
• Trade Station
• Tradestation
• Using Charles Schwab now. Not entirely satisfied.
• Tradestation, Interactive brokers
• Tasty trade
• Interactive Brokers
• E-Trade
• ninja
• Sogo
• Ally.
• Fidessa my broker is ADM(UK)
• Tradestation
• TradeStation
• AMP – Ninja
• AMP and Sierra Charts
• ninja trader


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• I like that third party indications created for Think or Swim are better than when created for Tradestation


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #204
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, November 19th, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com
– John Hoagland of TopstepTrader.com
– Simon Klein of TradeSmart4x.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #56
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, November 20th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

Did you ever think that becoming a professional trader is out of reach? Think again.
Click here to learn how.

top

TopstepTrader has funded more than 1,800 traders just like you with live trading capital. They take all the risk.
You keep the first $5,000 in profits and 80% thereafter.

Crowd Forecast News Episode #203

Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com (moderator)
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
0:00 – Introductions.
7:00 – Questions #1 and #2; Higher or Lower? Confidence?
18:10 – Question #3; Why?
39:20 – Question #4; Why are most traders not successful and consistent?
49:20 – Trade ideas of the week.
55:10 – Closing statements.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Dave: $100 Reusable Promo Code-Good For All Products At DaveLandry.com

From John: The Mad Hedge Fund Trader is Your Source For Winning Trade Alerts, Real Market Wisdom, and Global Economic Insights!

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

Other Special Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals.

You’ll see how on this online training.

CFN111218

Crowd Forecast News Report #268

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport111118.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (November 12th to 16th)?
The order of possible responses to this question on the survey were randomized for each viewer.)

Higher: 51.4%
Lower: 48.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: 2.9%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 64.6%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 62.8%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 66.5%
Higher/Lower Difference: -3.7%

Responses Submitted This Week: 37
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 45.2

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 75% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 70.6% Higher, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 58% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 2.00% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 51.4% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have occurred 12 times in the previous 267 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 75% of the time and with an average S&P500 move of 0.41% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 75% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 72.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Wicker won
• Sazonality rebound with a bottom market situation.
• Earnings and holiday spending
• holidays
• Earnings reports.
• Seasonal …. strong month in November…. bullish overall ….
• Continued battle between bulls and bears, net up move into monthly expiration.
• history
• still buying
• Consumer confidence high Holiday spending will be up Possible trade agreement with China
• 2811 seems to be a good level for next week because of historical relevance of that level

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Current momentum downward will take some time to subside.
• Still in a down trend, below 50 SMA
• Mid-term elections are over, so seasonality factor is gone.
• spy below 277
• The downside correction continues until the public says “just get me out”.
• The S&P hit it’s weekly high on Thursday, then fell on Friday. This high was below the high of early October. This lower high suggests general market weakness. Concern about the Fed raising rates and tariffs is expected to continue.
• Feds next raise Wii send rates over 3%
• tariffs
• at resistance – sell rallies
• Elliot wave pattern
• Technicals turning over, plus a dearth of good news.
• The market was down last Thursday and Friday, Friday was bad.


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals.

You’ll see how on this online training.


Question #4. What do you think are the main reasons why most traders are not successful and consistent? What could the average trader do to improve consistency?

• need a rule set to follow that profits in up and down markets and most don’t have that.
• Protective put
• discipline –put stops in first-patience
• trade less often
• Emotion
• DK
• I am not a successful swing trader as my brain fools me into taking the better looking trades and not the 3/10 ones which usually work out :(
• short term thesis
• Jumping into trades too early (before enough evidence is in) is a common problem.
• Inconsistent practices plus no mechanism to handle small losses as part of a larger successful plan.
• Follow a plan.
• Not having trade plan, rules
• Bad strategy
• Jumping in and out at the wrong time, at too large a position. Traders can do better by paying attention to logic of market moves, e.g., when sellers and buyers exhaust themselves on down and up moves.
• Don’t have a trading plan and if they do they don’t follow it consistently.
• Traders are there worst enemy… by far …. plus too much CNBC
• Lack of discipline. Turn off CNBC/Bloomberg/StockTwits, etc. Trade to your plan.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• Nothing noted


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #203
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, November 12th, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Dave Landry of DaveLandry.com (moderator)
– John Thomas of MadHedgeFundTrader.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com

Click here to find out more!


AYT is off this week but will be back on 11/20!

Analyze Your Trade Episode #56
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, November 20th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– TBA

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals.

You’ll see how on this online training.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #55

Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
5:50 – AMD
13:10 – CRM
19:50 – SHOP
27:00 – MFC
45:00– AAPL
48:10 – MU
52:30 – LVS
55:50 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

From Mike: Millions of options are traded every day identifying which ones to trade is what we do. We want to help you do it too.

From Michael: Free Pass to Candlelight Trading Trade Room

From Neil: Enter Your Email for The Best ETF To Hold For the Next 10 Years Already up +20.41% in 2018


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

Other Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals.

You’ll see how on this online training.


AYT110618

Crowd Forecast News Episode #202

Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Sean Kozak of NeuroStreet.com (first time guest!)
– Lee Harris of EmojiTrading.com
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
0:00 – Introductions.
10:50 – Question #1; Higher or Lower?
12:30 – Questions #2 and #3; Confidence? Why?
39:50 – Question #4; What types of trading do you focus on and have you tried?
57:20 – Trade ideas for the week and closing statements.

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Sean: “We Create Winning Traders!” Sign Up for Free Trade Room Guest Pass

From Lee: Emoji Trading Order Flow Suite Trial

From Rob: InvestiQuant’s IQ Swing Navigator is one of the most valuable, daily market briefings you can get.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

Other Special Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals.

You’ll see how on this online training.

CFN110518

Crowd Forecast News Report #267

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport110418.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (November 5th to 9th)?

Higher: 70.6%
Lower: 29.4%
Higher/Lower Difference: 41.2%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 67.2%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 66.5%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 69.0%
Higher/Lower Difference: -2.5%

Responses Submitted This Week: 34
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 45.3

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 58% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 68.4% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 67% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 1.51% Higher for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 70.6% Higher with a greater average confidence from those who responded Lower. Similar conditions have been observed 26 times in the previous 266 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 58% of the time, and with an average S&P500 move of 0.29% Lower for the week (one of those rare conditions were the number of times the S&P500 moved Higher under the selected conditions was greater but the average of all the moves was Lower). Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 58% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.5%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 72.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• 1.US and China trade war has positive outlook according to president Trump. 2. The midterm election is getting close to be done and over with. 3. Traders sentiment is positive.
• bull melt up
• Do for a rebound
• 1. Seasonality 2. GOP retains and improves number of seats in both the House and Senate.
• S&P Making a rally attempt from oversold condition
• Pull back done. election elation will take over
• November is an up month
• Bounce up and cooling rhetoric.
• history
• buying
• Best six months of the year historically and buybacks
• There is massive volatility but eventually prices may go back to a minor high.
• Mid term elections usually +ve
• One of the uncertainties will be known…elections over.
• no blue wave
• I entered 50% confidence level higher because I think it will go BOTH higher AND lower. I think it will be all over the map until the end of the year.

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• Trend reversal dead ahead
• Not enough buyers
• short signals from trend lines and indicators on the daily, weekly and monthly chart.
• Market trend down and short term trend top of pull back trend.
• Dems win house majority; Dow down 900 points
• Th downside correction continues as moving averages are penetrated.
• The S&P may have hit resistance on Friday morning, as then it fell most of the day. The strong jobs reports makes it more likely that the Fed will raise rates in Dec, which is should be a negative for the S&P.
• its between point 4 & point 5 on an Elliot wave; higher close + diminishing volume = no appetite for higher prices.


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals.

You’ll see how on this online training.


Question #4. What type(s) of trading do to focus on and why? Have you tried other forms of trading that did not work as well for you?

• Options. Buy & hold didn’t work so well.
• option spreads.
• reverse toward a trend from a pull back and break out reversal of a pull back. sell options in high volatility and buy options in low volatility.
• long term investing, options
• Only focus on Basic Equities, day and swing trading. Sell options.
• Trend following. It flows with my lifestyle.
• day/news and B&H Investing my main successes Swing trading still a hit and miss :(
• Stock trading, usually for 2-5 day periods.
• counterintuitive
• Far out-of-money option selling might work well here with the increased volatility. Just need to make sure the options are FAR out-of-the-money. Like maybe two hundred points or so.
• options – most leverage
• Intraday and swing
• None really
• 1 and 2 worked well 1. Futures only now 2. Formerly options and mutual funds aggressive no loads. 3. Managed futures accounts did not work.
• Options. Short term gains were more predictable
• Very short term. Less than a minute is a good trade
• No
• Day Trading suits my personality. Would like to do some short term swing trading. 1-3 days
• the types of trading that i do are : 1) trend line on weekly and monthly charts. 2) combination of specific indicators – oscillators on daily charts, weekly charts and monthly charts.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• have faith the market will move.
• look for pull back to close trade after 3 same direction days
• This is the most sensitive timing for markets
• Good luck.
• the trading that i do based on a combination of some specific indicators with specific settings, is extremely accurate in daily, weekly and monthly charts.


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #202
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, November 5th, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Sean Kozak of NeuroStreet.com (first time guest!)
– Lee Harris of EmojiTrading.com
– Rob Hanna of InvestiQuant.com & QuantifiableEdges.com (moderator)

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #55
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, November 6th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Neil Batho of TraderReview.net

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

The Alpha Fibonacci Method works on any instrument, any time frame, and any platform with ultimate accuracy at trend inception and trend reversals.

You’ll see how on this online training.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #54

Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Dean Jenkins of FollowMeTrades.com (moderator)
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
4:30 – KR
8:40 – MSFT
15:10 – CVX
22:30 – SQ
27:30 – FB
30:30 – Individual trade ideas for the week.
37:40 – TSLA (live audience request)
40:20 – BA
42:40 – JPM
45:10 – NVDA
47:40 – A
50:40 – NVTA
53:30 – BUD
55:40 – FXI and EWZ
57:50 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

– From Larry: How to Trade the Energy Markets Using Spreads, Technical’s & More

– From Dean: “Beyond the Noise” FREE Weekly Newsletter

– From Mike: Millions of options are traded every day identifying which ones to trade is what we do. We want to help you do it too.


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

Other Partner Offer:

Did you ever think that becoming a professional trader is out of reach? Think again.
Click here to learn how.

top

TopstepTrader has funded more than 1,800 traders just like you with live trading capital. They take all the risk.
You keep the first $5,000 in profits and 80% thereafter.


AYT103018

Crowd Forecast News Episode #201

Partner Offer: Do you need more capital to trade? Get funded in as little as 15 days, click here.

Listen to the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the most recent Crowd Forecast News report.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Roy Swanson of SteadyTrader.com
– Damon Pavlatos of FuturePathTrading.com

Timeline (click to watch on YouTube.com):
[coming soon]

You can download this week’s and all past reports here.


Guest Special Offers:

From Roy: Give Your Trades the “Green Light”!

From Michael: Sign up to receive a coupon code for $50 off a monthly membership in the Live Trade Room!

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

From Damon: Email [email protected] or visit FuturePathTrading.com


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch. Enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

Other Partner Offer:

Did you ever think that becoming a professional trader is out of reach? Think again.
Click here to learn how.

top

TopstepTrader has funded more than 1,800 traders just like you with live trading capital. They take all the risk.
You keep the first $5,000 in profits and 80% thereafter.

CFN102918

Crowd Forecast News Report #266

Partner Offer: Do you need more capital to trade? Get funded in as little as 15 days, click here.

The new TimingResearch report for the week has been posted, you can download the full PDF report with the link below or you can read the full report in this post below.

Click here to download report in PDF format: TRReport102818.pdf


Question #1. Which direction do you think the S&P500 index will move from this coming Monday’s open to Friday’s close (October 29th to November 2nd)?

Higher: 31.6%
Lower: 68.4%
Higher/Lower Difference: -36.8%

Question #2. Rate your confidence in your answer to Question #2 by estimating the probability you have correctly predicted next week’s market move.

Average of All Responses: 69.7%
Average For “Higher” Responses: 70.0%
Average For “Lower” Responses: 69.6%
Higher/Lower Difference: 0.4%

Responses Submitted This Week: 38
52-Week Average Number of Responses: 45.8

TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Prediction: 67% Chance Higher
This prediction is an attempt by the editor of this newsletter to use the full 5 year history of data collected from this project to forecast a probability estimate for whether this week’s sentiment is going to be correct and ultimately what the markets will do this coming week.

Details: Last week’s majority sentiment from the survey was 56.7% Lower, and the Crowd Forecast Indicator prediction was 64% Chance Higher; the S&P500 closed 4.15% Lower for the week. This week’s majority sentiment from the survey is 68.4% Lower with a greater average confidence from those who responded Higher. Similar conditions have been observed 9 times in the previous 265 weeks, with the majority sentiment being correct 33% of the time, and with an average S&P500 move of 0.19% Higher for the week. Based on that history, the TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Indicator is forecasting a 67% Chance that the S&P500 is going to move Higher this coming week.

Raw Data Page (raw data files include full history spreadsheet and the above charts):
TimingResearch.com/data.


Full Weekly Results (full version of this chart available in the raw data spreadsheet for this week, “Date” field below lists the Monday of the week being predicted).

Overall Sentiment All-Time “Correct” Percentage: 51.7%
Overall Sentiment 52-Week “Correct” Percentage: 60.8%
Overall Sentiment 12-Week “Correct” Percentage: 72.7%

Only the previous 52 weeks of data are shown below, please download the raw data to see the full range of past data.

Weekly Reports Page: TimingResearch.com/reports
Raw Data Page: TimingResearch.com/rawdata
Current Survey Page: TimingResearch.com/currentsurvey
Any feedback: TimingResearch.com/contact


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

NOTE: The following open-ended answers are solely the opinions of the anonymous respondents to this survey. Responses are mostly unedited, but some have been reformatted slightly for to make them easier to read. Some irrelevant responses (e.g. “none”), or anything obviously fake, or copy and pasted responses have been omitted. All-caps responses have been changed to all lowercase. All responses for each week, unedited, are available in the raw data spreadsheets at TimingResearch.com/data.

Question #3. For your answer to Question #1, please share what specific reason(s) you think the S&P500 will be heading the direction you chose.

“Higher” Respondent Answers:

• Market is very oversold and need to rebound.
• good earnings
• Over Sold Bounce / Positive Economic News
• No T.A . Just monkeys throwing darts. And the teeter-totter rhythm since there doesn’t seem to be rhyme but no reason to the market.Not to point fingers, but the mkt might be mimicking the chaotic behaviour of the powers that be ?
• Mid-term Elections
• October ends midweek
• oversold and SC rally brewing
• dead cat bounce
• Markets will front run the elections tax cut continuation trade deals and consumer confidence and Euro GB Italy resolutions

“Lower” Respondent Answers:

• It has had 2 dips and i beleive it is over priced.
• The stock market is always going up and down all the time
• Market instability of late predicts a break to the downside soon.
• wave
• Trend is still down & quidance will weigh on future earnings due to tariff concerns & trade war with China ….then gov’t deficits will take the spotlight at some point next year
• We’re in a down trend
• The markets remain in the beginning stages of a larger correction.
• Trump’s Trade War. China will not capitulate like wimpy Canada and Mexico.
• The downside correction continues as moving averages have been violated. Market will continue the downward path until the public says “just get me out”.
• The forces that have trimmed the market this month are still in play. Next support appears to be about 2565, a pivot seen in Nov 2017, Feb & Apr 2018.
• elliott wave prognosis and sentiment
• Unknowns on the world stage are still dominant. Even strong Earnings are not changing the trend for the moment. Stock Prices are soon Ready for the end-year Rally.
• Declining trend increased by quarterly earnings failing to ignite market PLUS mid-term election uncertainty.
• historical drop this time of year
• seems to be selling ahead to make an impact on the election
• MACD, momentum, fear


Partner Offer:

Did you ever think that becoming a professional trader is out of reach? Think again.
Click here to learn how.

top

TopstepTrader has funded more than 1,800 traders just like you with live trading capital. They take all the risk. You keep the first $5,000 in profits and 80% thereafter.


Question #4. Have you ever, or do you currently, use any type of auto-trading execution with your trading strategies?

• no
• no
• no
• No & no
• No.
• Have tried auto trading with no success.
• No
• No. Trade news and trend.
• no
• Yes, I use auto trading algorithms written specially for trading my strategies.
• Yes
• yes
• No.
• Yes
• rising interest rates and oil, oil has pulled back, but combination will pull down markets.
• no
• No
• no
• no
• yes
• Yes I do.


Question #5. Additional Comments/Questions/Suggestions?

• i’m just getting started
• I would like to know if any auto trades work.
• I only trade options, hardly no stocks, less risk, trade tactics on down, up and sideways,
• please email survey results and list associated comments too, without names of who is saying. …so bullish reasons give, etc thank you
• 80% of the S&P 500 stocks down 10% or more


Join us for this week’s shows:


Crowd Forecast News Episode #201
This week’s show will feature a discussion with the trading experts listed below about the most recent TimingResearch Crowd Forecast Newsletter report, where they think the S&P500 is headed, what they are watching for in the markets currently, and their best trading idea.

Date and Time:
– Monday, October 29th, 2018
– 1PM ET (10AM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com (moderator)
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com
– Roy Swanson of SteadyTrader.com
– Damon Pavlatos of FuturePathTrading.com

Click here to find out more!


Analyze Your Trade Episode #
When you register, you will be prompted to list the top 5 stocks that you are interested in trading. We will list the top 5 from all registrants and our experts will be prepared to offer their opinions on these trades.

Date and Time:
– Tuesday, October 30th, 2018
– 4:30PM ET (1:30PM PT)

Moderator and Guests:
– Dean Jenkins of FollowMeTrades.com (moderator)
– Larry Gaines of PowerCycleTrading.com

Click here to find out more!


Partner Offer:

Did you ever think that becoming a professional trader is out of reach? Think again.
Click here to learn how.

top

TopstepTrader has funded more than 1,800 traders just like you with live trading capital. They take all the risk. You keep the first $5,000 in profits and 80% thereafter.

Analyze Your Trade Episode #53

Watch the following guests, along with David J. Kosmider, the creator of TimingResearch.com, discuss the symbol list for this week’s Analyze Your Trade episode.

New! Listen to this episode as a podcast through iTunesPodbean, Stitcher, Spotify, and more.

Lineup for this Episode:
– Mike Pisani of AlphaShark.com & SmartOptionTrading.com (moderator)
– Jim Kenney of OptionProfessor.com

Michael Filighera of LogicalSignals.com was also going to join us but had technical difficulties, we’ll have him back soon.

Episode Timeline:
0:00 – Introductions.
3:10 – COST
8:40 – SPY
13:50 – PBR
18:40 – EBAY
22:30 – LB
25:40 – PJT
29:20 – LYV
31:40 – CLF
34:30 – Individual trade ideas.
39:40 – AA
41:50 – SYMC
44:30 – VTR
47:40 – PYPL
31:30 – DIS
54:40 – GDX
58:20 – Closing statements.


Guest Special Offers:

From Jim: OptionProfessor Weekly Market Update with Jim Kenney

From Mike: Follow @OptionsMike on Twitter.

From Michael: Get coupon code for $50 off a monthly membership!


Email Alerts

Make sure you don’t miss all the future reports, show reminders, and bonus offers from TimingResearch, enter your email here:

By signing up you agree to receive newsletter and alert emails. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy Policies

Other Partner Offer:

Tuesday, October 23rd at 7:00pm ET: They’re insiders – CEOs, CFOs, board members and other executives with access to key, non-public information about their companies. Information they use to get very rich.


AYT102318

1 61 62 63 64 65 112